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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 4-Aug-18 World View -- South Africa announces plans for unpaid confiscation of white-owned farms

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Zimbabwe's post-election violence raises concerns about economy
  • South Africa announces plans for unpaid confiscation of white-owned farms

****
**** Zimbabwe's post-election violence raises concerns about economy
****


[Image: g180803b.jpg]
Zimbabwe Black Power Farm. Starting in 2000, Zimbabwe's government confiscated thousands of white-owned farms without compensation, leading to economic disaster. (AFP)

Early Friday morning the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (ZEC) declared
incumbent Emmerson Mnangagwa the winner of Sunday's presidential
election with 50.8% of the vote -- just enough to avoid a run-off
against Chamisa, who received 44.3% of the vote.

Chamisa declared the result fraudulent, and urged his supporters to
hold peaceful protests, avoiding violence. However, a Chamisa press
conference was broken up by government riot police. On Wednesday, the
army opened live fire on protesters in the capital city Harare,
killing six people.

Whether or not the election was fraudulent, these and other acts of
post-election violence by government security and military forces
against protesters are raising concerns in the international
community that Zimbabwe is not a stable country, and that therefore
commercial investments in Zimbabwe are too risky.

Mnangagwa repeatedly made it clear during the campaign that he
wanted the election to be fair and free of controversy, specifically
so that international investors would help boost Zimbabwe's
collapsing economy.

Zimbabwe's disastrous economy is blamed on tribal and racial violence
by Mnangagwa's predecessor Robert Mugabe. Mugabe's Shona tribe
conducted genocide against the hated Ndebele tribe, killing tens of
thousands, and marginalizing them ever since. Then he conducted
racial warfare starting in 2000 by confiscating hundreds of farms
owned by white farmers, and turning them over to his Shona cronies who
didn't know how to run a farm. A lot of the racist confiscation was
performed through "land invasions," where a group of Shona tribesmen
would invade a white-owned farm, throw the white farmers off the farm,
and confiscated through force.

The result was an economic disaster that changed Zimbabwe from the
breadbasket of southern Africa into a basket case. The currency
collapsed with an inflation rate over 231 million percent, as people
were forced into starvation. Mugabe continued his "indigenization"
program by confiscating commercial businesses and turned them over to
Shona cronies who didn't know how to run businesses.

During this year's election campaign, Mnangagwa actually acknowledged
Mugabe's disastrous policies by attempting to woo white farmers
with promises to return some of their land.

Mnangagwa conceded that much of the land stolen from white farmers had
been given to powerful politicians, soldiers or tribal leaders who
knew little or nothing about farming:

<QUOTE>"I know of some chiefs who have moved from one farm to
another. Then they run it down. Then he leaves that farm and he
is issued another one. He runs it down. That time is
gone."<END QUOTE>


However, that speech was given by a politician to wealthy Zimbabweans
during election campaign. Why would anyone believe anything that a
politician says during an election campaign? At his core, Mnangagwa
is a Shona tribesman still at war with Ndebele tribesmen and whites.

Now that Mnangagwa has been declared winner of the presidential
election, he has to find a way to get international investors to
invest in Zimbabwe. And this will have to be done with actions, not
promises. Whether he can do that remains to be seen. Zimbabwe Mail and Deutsche Welle (7-Jul)

****
**** South Africa announces plans for unpaid confiscation of white-owned farms
****


South Africa's president Cyril Ramaphosa, leader of the governing
African National Congress (ANC) political party, made a surprise
announcement on Tuesday that the ANC would go ahead with aggressive
plans to confiscate white-owned farms without compensation:

<QUOTE>"The ANC reaffirms its position that the Constitution
is a mandate for radical transformation both of society and the
economy.

A proper reading of the Constitution on the property clause
enables the state to effect expropriation of land with just and
equitable compensation and also expropriation without compensation
in the public interest.

It has become patently clear that our people want the Constitution
to be more explicit about expropriation of land without
compensation, as demonstrated in the public hearings. ...

Accordingly, the ANC will, through the parliamentary process,
finalize a proposed amendment to the Constitution that outlines
more clearly the conditions under which expropriation of land
without compensation can be effected.

The intention of this proposed amendment is to promote redress,
advance economic development, increase agricultural production and
food security."<END QUOTE>


Blacks claim that farmland was owned by whites during the apartheid
era, but since South Africa achieved independence in 1994, blacks own
very little farmland, while whites own massively more. In 1994, the
ANC promised to expropriate 30% of the white-owned farms "with just and
equitable compensation," as provided for in the constitution,
and redistribute that land to black farmers.

However, 25 years later, the government has acquired only 7.9% of the
white-owned farms, and even those have mostly not been redistributed
to blacks. Therefore, there have increasingly belligerent demands
within the ANC to take action to confiscate white-owned farms.
Furthermore, rather than have the ANC provide "just and equitable
compensations," the new constitutional amendment will permit
confiscation with no compensation whatsoever.

This is exactly the policy that Zimbabwe followed, and in fact
confiscation with no compensation opens the way to the same kinds of
"land invasions," where blacks invade a white-owned farm and through
the white farmer out. The result that the value of the South African
rand currency has been falling sharply since Ramaphosa's announcement.

Ramaphosa, of course, is just another ordinary politician making a
campaign promise in advance of next year's election. Ramaphosa made
the completely empty promise to "advance economic development,
increase agricultural production and food security," even though he
has absolutely no clue how to do that and, in fact, the Zimbabwe
experiences indicates that the outcome will be disastrous.

The ANC have been forming committees and holding meetings for
over a year on the question land confiscation without compensation,
but they still haven't even come up with a description of how
the land confiscation would work. Questions that they've been
unable or unwilling to answer include the following:
  • Whose land will be confiscated? Will there be any kind of
    economic test? Black groups are demanding that black-owned farms be
    off-limits, indicating that the confiscation process would be purely
    racist.

  • Who will make the decisions about whose land will be confiscated?
    Will a court decide?

  • Will there be any legal process in the confiscation? Will there
    be any kind of confiscation at all?

  • Who will decide which blacks will receive the land? Will a court
    decide? Will the decision be tribal? Will it be political?

Even under the most benign circumstances, why would a black farmer
with no experience as a farmer do anywhere near as well as a white
farmer who has been farming for decades? He won't.

Zimbabwe used to produce enough food to feed itself, and export the
rest. After Robert Mugabe's farm confiscation program, Zimbabwe was
forced to import food, and Zimbabwe was saved by food from South
African farms. After South Africa's farm confiscation program is put
into effect, who's going to save South Africa? News24 (South Africa) and CNBC and News24 and Eyewitness News (South Africa) and The South African and News24

Related Stories


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Zimbabwe, Robert Mugabe,
Emmerson Dambudzo Mnangagwa, Nelson Chamisa, Shona, Ndebele,
South Africa, Cyril Ramaphosa, African National Congress, ANC

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4-Aug-18 World View -- South Africa announces plans for unpaid confiscation of white- - by John J. Xenakis - 08-03-2018, 09:51 PM
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