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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 3-Sep-18 World View -- Libya declares state of emergency, closes Tripoli airport

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Libya declares state of emergency, closes Tripoli airport
  • The deterioration of Libya since the 2011 'Arab Spring'

****
**** Libya declares state of emergency, closes Tripoli airport
****


[Image: g180902b.jpg]
Tripoli, Libya (Libyan Express)

Libya's government in Tripoli, the country's capital city, announced a
state of emergency in Tripoli and closed the Mitaga airport, the
only remaining airport in operation in Libya, since the Tripoli
International Airport was destroyed by militia warfare in 2014.

The announcement follows several days of fierce fighting between
various militias and armed groups from within and around Tripoli.
Rockets appear to be falling at random into densely populated areas,
fired by one or more of the militias. At least 39 people, including
civilians, have been killed in the violence and nearly 100 others
wounded.

Libya today has two completely separate governments. The western
government, based in Tripoli, is the Government of National Accord
(GNA), which is internationally recognized by the United Nations.
However, the real power in Tripoli lies with the warlords and militias
inside and outside the city.

The second government is the eastern government, based in Tobruk, is
the House of Representatives, led by a renegade General Khalifa
Haftar.

The Libyan state in Tripoli has been almost totally "captured" by a
cartel of militias in central Tripoli, the main ones being the Tripoli
Revolutionaries' Brigades and the Nawasi Battalion. They use violence,
fraud and embezzlement to control state institutions, banks,
businesses, and the only functioning airport. A major source of
funding has been kidnapping victims from wealthy families, who provide
substantial rewards to free the victims.

The militias inside and outside Tripoli also formed an "alternative
economy" -- receive payment from Italy
in return for preventing migrants from crossing the
Mediterranean to Italy by locking them up in horrific refugee camps.

Because of the excessive violence and corruption, the cartel
controlling central Tripoli has angered many of the tribes on the
outskirts of Tripoli. The battles last week were the Seventh Brigade,
or Kaniyat, from Tarhouna, a town 40 miles southeast of Tripoli.

There are also al-Qaeda militias in Misrata, a city 125 miles east of
Tripoli, who are threatening to attack central Tripoli as well. But
they've lately been occupied with fighting ISIS-linked militias in
Sirte, which is east of Misrata.

Finally, renegade General Haftar has been staying out of Tripoli, but
it's thought that he's making plans to conduct his own attack.
Libyan Express and Al Jazeera and Reuters and Times of Malta

****
**** The deterioration of Libya since the 2011 'Arab Spring'
****


The "Arab Spring" in 2011 was triggered by the death of a Tunisian
food vendor, followed by massive protests and gun battles in Tunisia,
forcing the president to flee the country. There were violent
protests in Egypt, and there were anti-government demonstrations in
Yemen. There were fears that instability would continue to spread.
Lebanon's government collapsed.

A major refugee crisis had already began in Tunisia and Libya, with
hundreds of thousands of people pouring into neighboring countries,
and thousands crossing the Mediterranean to Italy. Libya's dictator
Muammar Gaddafi declared war on the protesters and was threatening
genocide, especially in Benghazi. It was this refugee crisis that
caused Libyans to demand a no-fly zone, and for the Arab League to do
the same, after which the UN Security Council passed a resolution
authorizing a no-fly zone. As fighting continued, this turned into
the 2011 military intervention, and the assassination of Gaddafi.
( "5-Mar-16 World View -- A look back at Libya in 2011 as the West debates another military intervention"
)

Gaddafi came to power in Libya in 1969 in a generational Awakening
era. As we've described in Syria, Cambodia, Burundi and a number of
other countries in the decades following a generational crisis civil
war, Gaddafi kept an iron grip on power by committing human rights
abuses, including arbitrary arrests, torture, extrajudicial executions
and revenge attacks. However, even with these methods, he lost
control of the population in a new civil war triggered by the Arab
Spring, and was threatening the deaths of hundreds of thousands of
people in Benghazi.

Since the fall of Gaddafi, the deterioration of Libya's government
that was originally triggered by the Arab Spring has continued.
According to a June analysis by the Small Arms Survey:

<QUOTE>"Since state institutions split in two in mid-2014,
the armed groups in Tripoli have undergone far-reaching changes in
their financing patterns. Protection rackets and large-scale
fraud, which are both contributing to a deepening economic crisis,
have replaced state salaries as their principal source of income.

Over the past two years, the large Tripolitanian militias have
transformed into criminal networks straddling politics, big
business, and the administration. They have infiltrated the
bureaucracy and are increasingly able to coordinate their actions
across different state institutions. The government is powerless
in the face of militia influence.

For the average citizen, security in Tripoli has improved
substantially, as clashes between rival forces have receded and
the cartel has focused on controlling the administration and the
economy. But this state of affairs is fuelling resentment among
powerful forces in the capital and beyond. It could provoke a new
war over the capital."<END QUOTE>


That analysis was published in June, and it predicted that the Tripoli
cartel would provoke sufficient anger that it could lead to a new war
in Tripoli. The first signs of that have begun to appear in the last
week. Small Arms Survey and Libyan Express and BBC

Related Articles:



KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Libya, Tripoli, Mitaga airport,
Government of National Accord, GNA,
Khalifa Haftar, Tobruk, House of Representatives,
Tripoli Revolutionaries' Brigades, Nawasi Battalion,
Seventh Brigade, Kaniyat, Tarhouna, Misrata, Sirte,
Arab Spring, Tunisia, Egypt, Arab League,
Muammar Gaddafi, Benghazi

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John J. Xenakis
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3-Sep-18 World View -- Libya declares state of emergency, closes Tripoli airport - by John J. Xenakis - 09-02-2018, 10:44 PM
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