09-11-2018, 10:56 PM
*** 12-Sep-18 World View -- Russia's 'strategic alliance' with China evokes memories of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Russia, with China's participation, launches biggest war games in decades
****
![[Image: g180911b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g180911b.jpg)
Putin and the Vostok-2018 war games
Russia on Tuesday launched Vostok-2018 ("East-2018"), its biggest
military exercise in decades, involving 300,000 personnel, 36,000
armored vehicles, 1,000 aircraft, and 80 naval vessels from two
Russian fleets. Three brigades of Russian paratroops will play a key
role. The war games will last until September 17.
An important symbolic change this year is that 3,200 Chinese troops
will participate alongside the Russian troops. Mongolia is also
sending an undisclosed number of units.
One message being sent to the West is that Russia will be prepared to
respond to US military action in Asia, if such every occurs. A key
aim of the exercise is to practice the rapid deployment of thousands
of troops, as well as aircraft and vehicles, from western Russia to
eastern regions, across thousands of miles, including in-flight
refuelling of fighter jets.
A second message being sent to the West is that Russia and China are
"forming deep bonds," to counter America's international influence.
Jamestown and Tass
and Reuters and South China Morning Post
****
**** Russia's Vostok-2018 war games send a message to China
****
There massive Vostok-2018 war games, the largest since the collapse of
the Soviet Empire, are also sending a message to China that Russia is
prepared to defend its Far East region from a Chinese military
incursion. This in fact was the original purpose of the Vostok war
games during the days of the Soviet Union.
This is the first time that any nation outside of the former Soviet
Union has been included in the Vostok exercises. Many analysts
believe that Russia decided that including a small number of Chinese
and Mongolian troops in the war games is the best way to send the
message that Russia is STILL prepared to defend the Far East, as well
as to reassure both countries that the war games are not the precursor
to an imminent invasion of either county.
Russia has been openly concerned about Russia's at least since 2012,
when Russia's prime minister Dmitry Medvedev warned that a huge influx
of immigrants from China threatened Russia's control of Siberia and
Far East. ( "31-Mar-18 World View -- Russia's Far East, Siberia and Vladivostok under threat from China"
)
In particular, Russia's Lake Baikal in Siberia, the deepest lake in
the world, is being buried in huge mountains of garbage from Chinese
tourists. Chinese guides tell Chinese tourists that Baikal is China’s
northern sea, that their ancestors used to live there, and that the
territory only belongs to Russia for the time being. These guides also
reportedly encourage Chinese visitors to buy property and businesses
in order to make money over the next decade. Many are doing so.
Also, many Chinese on social media are suggesting that China should
reclaim Vladivostok, the home of Russia's Pacific Fleet, from Russia,
just as China reclaimed Hong Kong from Britain. That's not going to
happen without a war, and that's why Russia is sending China a
message.
When Russia holds war games in the west, they are obviously aimed at
Nato. But the Vostok games are held in the east, and there's no clear
enemy in sight, so naturally the media assume that they're aimed at
the United States. But in fact, Russia has a far more immediate enemy
in the region, and that's China. So even though China is
participating in the war games, it's most likely that the war games
are aimed at China. Moscow Times and Asia Times
****
**** Has Vladimir Putin forgotten the lessons of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact?
****
Much of what President Trump does is extremely perplexing because of
his stated intention to not reveal what he plans to do. So many
questions are left unanswered.
Why does Trump keep complimenting Kim Jong-un, when he must know that
North Korea will never denuclearize? Does Trump really want to fire
Jeff Sessions, or does he keep threatening to fire Sessions to protect
Sessions, and allow him to implement Trump's programs without
criticism from the Left? When Trump met with Putin privately
in July, did they discuss China's plans
for war with both of them?
The reality of today's international politics is that a lot of people
are playing "The Art of the Deal," and one can't be sure that anyone
says what he means.
The Russians have hated the Chinese ever since the Mongols defeated
the Chinese in 1206, and then went on to attack and conquer almost all
the Russian principalities, and made them bitter vassals of the Mongol
Empire, in a relationship called the "Mongol Yoke." This hated
period, two centuries long, has defined the relationship between the
Russian and Chinese people forever. There is no possibility that
China and Russia will remain "strategic partners" for long. In fact,
Soviet Russia and China almost went to full-scale war as recently as
the 1960s.
If Trump and Putin really did discuss plans for mutual defense after
China's military attack, then Putin must also be aware that China is
planning war with Russia, and so this mutual "strategic alliance"
between Russia and China is all a charade.
Probably the biggest diplomatic blunder in Russia's history was Josef
Stalin believing that Adolf Hitler would honor the Molotov-Ribbentrop
Pact, which the two had signed on August 23, 1939.
That pact was a mutual non-aggression treaty that obligated the two
countries "to desist from any act of violence, any aggressive action,
and any attack on each other, either individually or jointly with
other Powers." Stalin was completely shocked and totally unprepared
when Hitler violated the pact and invaded Russia to get some
Lebensraum ("living space").
We know that China has also been pursuing the same Lebensraum objective,
at least since the time of
Chiang Ki-shek after World War II. The Chinese Communist Party view
of Han Racial Superiority is no different than the Nazi view of the
Aryan Master Race. So it's absolutely certain that Xi Jinping will
double-cross Vladimir Putin, just as Adolf Hitler double-crossed Josef
Stalin.
So has Putin learned the lessons of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact? If
so, then Putin and Trump certainly did discuss China's plans for war
in their private meeting, and Vostok-2018 is much less a message to
the US than it is a message to China that Putin won't be a sucker like
Stalin was. Jewish Virtual Library and Breitbart National Security
Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Russia, Vostok 2018, China, mongolia,
Dmitry Medvedev, Siberia, Far East, Lake Baikal, Vladivostok,
Kim Jong-un, Vladimir Putin, Jeff Sessions, Mongol Yoke,
Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, Josef Stalin, Adolf Hitler,
Xi Jinping, Lebensraum, Han Racial Superiority, Aryan Master Race
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Russia, with China's participation, launches biggest war games in decades
- Russia's Vostok-2018 war games send a message to China
- Has Vladimir Putin forgotten the lessons of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact?
****
**** Russia, with China's participation, launches biggest war games in decades
****
Putin and the Vostok-2018 war games
Russia on Tuesday launched Vostok-2018 ("East-2018"), its biggest
military exercise in decades, involving 300,000 personnel, 36,000
armored vehicles, 1,000 aircraft, and 80 naval vessels from two
Russian fleets. Three brigades of Russian paratroops will play a key
role. The war games will last until September 17.
An important symbolic change this year is that 3,200 Chinese troops
will participate alongside the Russian troops. Mongolia is also
sending an undisclosed number of units.
One message being sent to the West is that Russia will be prepared to
respond to US military action in Asia, if such every occurs. A key
aim of the exercise is to practice the rapid deployment of thousands
of troops, as well as aircraft and vehicles, from western Russia to
eastern regions, across thousands of miles, including in-flight
refuelling of fighter jets.
A second message being sent to the West is that Russia and China are
"forming deep bonds," to counter America's international influence.
Jamestown and Tass
and Reuters and South China Morning Post
****
**** Russia's Vostok-2018 war games send a message to China
****
There massive Vostok-2018 war games, the largest since the collapse of
the Soviet Empire, are also sending a message to China that Russia is
prepared to defend its Far East region from a Chinese military
incursion. This in fact was the original purpose of the Vostok war
games during the days of the Soviet Union.
This is the first time that any nation outside of the former Soviet
Union has been included in the Vostok exercises. Many analysts
believe that Russia decided that including a small number of Chinese
and Mongolian troops in the war games is the best way to send the
message that Russia is STILL prepared to defend the Far East, as well
as to reassure both countries that the war games are not the precursor
to an imminent invasion of either county.
Russia has been openly concerned about Russia's at least since 2012,
when Russia's prime minister Dmitry Medvedev warned that a huge influx
of immigrants from China threatened Russia's control of Siberia and
Far East. ( "31-Mar-18 World View -- Russia's Far East, Siberia and Vladivostok under threat from China"
)
In particular, Russia's Lake Baikal in Siberia, the deepest lake in
the world, is being buried in huge mountains of garbage from Chinese
tourists. Chinese guides tell Chinese tourists that Baikal is China’s
northern sea, that their ancestors used to live there, and that the
territory only belongs to Russia for the time being. These guides also
reportedly encourage Chinese visitors to buy property and businesses
in order to make money over the next decade. Many are doing so.
Also, many Chinese on social media are suggesting that China should
reclaim Vladivostok, the home of Russia's Pacific Fleet, from Russia,
just as China reclaimed Hong Kong from Britain. That's not going to
happen without a war, and that's why Russia is sending China a
message.
When Russia holds war games in the west, they are obviously aimed at
Nato. But the Vostok games are held in the east, and there's no clear
enemy in sight, so naturally the media assume that they're aimed at
the United States. But in fact, Russia has a far more immediate enemy
in the region, and that's China. So even though China is
participating in the war games, it's most likely that the war games
are aimed at China. Moscow Times and Asia Times
****
**** Has Vladimir Putin forgotten the lessons of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact?
****
Much of what President Trump does is extremely perplexing because of
his stated intention to not reveal what he plans to do. So many
questions are left unanswered.
Why does Trump keep complimenting Kim Jong-un, when he must know that
North Korea will never denuclearize? Does Trump really want to fire
Jeff Sessions, or does he keep threatening to fire Sessions to protect
Sessions, and allow him to implement Trump's programs without
criticism from the Left? When Trump met with Putin privately
in July, did they discuss China's plans
for war with both of them?
The reality of today's international politics is that a lot of people
are playing "The Art of the Deal," and one can't be sure that anyone
says what he means.
The Russians have hated the Chinese ever since the Mongols defeated
the Chinese in 1206, and then went on to attack and conquer almost all
the Russian principalities, and made them bitter vassals of the Mongol
Empire, in a relationship called the "Mongol Yoke." This hated
period, two centuries long, has defined the relationship between the
Russian and Chinese people forever. There is no possibility that
China and Russia will remain "strategic partners" for long. In fact,
Soviet Russia and China almost went to full-scale war as recently as
the 1960s.
If Trump and Putin really did discuss plans for mutual defense after
China's military attack, then Putin must also be aware that China is
planning war with Russia, and so this mutual "strategic alliance"
between Russia and China is all a charade.
Probably the biggest diplomatic blunder in Russia's history was Josef
Stalin believing that Adolf Hitler would honor the Molotov-Ribbentrop
Pact, which the two had signed on August 23, 1939.
That pact was a mutual non-aggression treaty that obligated the two
countries "to desist from any act of violence, any aggressive action,
and any attack on each other, either individually or jointly with
other Powers." Stalin was completely shocked and totally unprepared
when Hitler violated the pact and invaded Russia to get some
Lebensraum ("living space").
We know that China has also been pursuing the same Lebensraum objective,
at least since the time of
Chiang Ki-shek after World War II. The Chinese Communist Party view
of Han Racial Superiority is no different than the Nazi view of the
Aryan Master Race. So it's absolutely certain that Xi Jinping will
double-cross Vladimir Putin, just as Adolf Hitler double-crossed Josef
Stalin.
So has Putin learned the lessons of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact? If
so, then Putin and Trump certainly did discuss China's plans for war
in their private meeting, and Vostok-2018 is much less a message to
the US than it is a message to China that Putin won't be a sucker like
Stalin was. Jewish Virtual Library and Breitbart National Security
Related Articles
- Russia's Far East, Siberia and Vladivostok under threat from China (31-Mar-2018)
- The Trump-Putin private meeting was almost certainly about China (21-Jul-2018)
- Poland welcomes biggest deployment of American tanks and troops in decades (15-Jan-2017)
- Russia's concerns about China's 'invasion' of the Far East continue (21-Jun-2015)
- Russia holds massive Vostok 2014 military exercises amid anti-US hysteria (26-Sep-2014)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Russia, Vostok 2018, China, mongolia,
Dmitry Medvedev, Siberia, Far East, Lake Baikal, Vladivostok,
Kim Jong-un, Vladimir Putin, Jeff Sessions, Mongol Yoke,
Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, Josef Stalin, Adolf Hitler,
Xi Jinping, Lebensraum, Han Racial Superiority, Aryan Master Race
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
