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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 25-Sep-18 World View -- Russia will supply S-300 systems to Syria, and jam Israeli communications

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Russia blames Israel when Syria shoots down Russian plan
  • Russia will supply S-300 systems to Syria, and jam Israeli communications

****
**** Russia blames Israel when Syria shoots down Russian plan
****


[Image: g180924b.jpg]
S-300 anti-aircraft missile launchers (RT)

The Israeli security cabinet will meet in urgent session on Tuesday
over the crisis in relations between Israel and Russia, a day after
Russia officially blamed Israel because Syrian surface to air missiles
shot down a Russian reconnaissance plane on September 17, killing all
15 Russians onboard.

On September 17, Israeli F-16 warplanes were carrying out airstrikes
in Syria to prevent Iran from deploying advanced weapons that the
Syrian regime or Lebanon's Hezbollah could use to strike Israel.
Earlier this month, an Israeli official admitted that Israel had
carried out more than 200 attacks against Iranian targets in Syria in
the last two years.

The Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad attempted to use an an S-200
anti-aircraft missile battery, previously supplied by the Russians, to
shoot down the Israeli warplanes, but instead shot down a Russian
Ilyushin Il-20 (IL-20) reconnaissance plane, killing all 15 Russian
service members onboard.

Shortly after the incident occurred, Russia's president Vladimir Putin
said that the shootdown was caused by a "series of tragic mistakes."

But on Sunday, Russia's Defense Ministry said:

<QUOTE>"Objective data says that the actions of Israeli
pilots, which led to the death of 15 Russian military personnel,
point to either lack of professionalism or criminal negligence.
This is why we believe that the Russian Il-20 aircraft tragedy is
solely the fault of the Israeli Air Force and those who made
decisions concerning such actions. ...

This is an extremely ungrateful response to all that Russia has
done for Israel and the Israeli people recently."<END QUOTE>


The Russians describe how extremely clever and tricky Israeli pilots
flew into the region and out again, tricking the hapless Syrians into
shooting the Russian reconnaissance plane before they even knew what
they were doing. The Foreign Ministry continued:

<QUOTE>"The Israeli pilot could not but understand that since
the Il-20 aircraft has a far larger radar cross-section compared
to an F-16 jet, it would be a preferred target for air defenses.
[Israel is aware that] Russian and Syrian militaries use different
friend or foe identification systems so Syrian radars could have
identified the Il-20 as a group of Israeli fighter
jets."<END QUOTE>


So, in other words, the Syrians couldn't identify Russian planes using
friend or foe identification systems, and Syrian radar operators
couldn't tell the difference between a Russian IL-20 reconnaissance
plane and an Israeli F-16 warplane, even though the F-16 is one-third
as big as the IL-20. So the Syrians shot down the Russian plane, and
therefore, the shootdown was "solely the fault of the Israeli Air
Force." Those Israeli pilots were pretty clever, weren't they?

Even some Russian commentators are saying that the Russian explanation
is ridiculous, and that the fault is with the total incompetence of
the Syrians. According to sarcastic commentaries in the the liberal
Russian media Echo Moskvy:

<QUOTE>"How could the Syrian air defense, upon seeing on
their radars a large IL-20 coming to a low speed landing, release
the S-200 on a small Israeli Air Force fighter, who was in same
air space sector?! Are there brainless ‘dummies’ sitting behind
the radars?"

"We always blame someone else. Anyone but us. [The Boeing MH17
passenger plane] was hit by Ukraine, the British themselves
poisoned the Skripals, White Helmets poured chlorine on the Syrian
insurgents, sanctions were imposed by Russophobes, doping was
planted by other Russophobes. ...

With whom have we not yet quarreled? Who else is still not to
blame for all our troubles? Israel - it is now on the line. Let's
go after the Jews! Moreover, our people have long suspected that
the true culprits of all misfortunes are the Jews and the Masons
who joined them."<END QUOTE>


A growing number of Russians are opposing Russia's involvement in the
war in Syria, and so Putin cannot afford to admit that it was the
incompetence of the Syrian military and the Russian military that led
to the deaths of the 15 Russian soldiers. Tass (Moscow, 23-Sep) and
Reuters (4-Sep) and The Hill and Echo Moskvy (Trans)

****
**** Russia will supply S-300 systems to Syria, and jam Israeli communications
****


After saying that Syria shooting down a Russian plane was "solely the
fault of the Israeli Air Force", Russia's defense minister Sergei
Shoigu announced on Mondayk that advanced S-300 anti-aircraft missile
systems will be supplied to Syria within two weeks. According to
Shoigu:

<QUOTE>"The S-300 is capable of intercepting air threats at a
range of more than 250 kilometers and simultaneously hitting
several aerial targets. Russia will also jam satellite
navigation, on-board radars and communication systems of combat
aircraft, which attack targets in the Syrian territory, in the
regions over the waters of the Mediterranean Sea bordering with
Syria."<END QUOTE>


This announcement has alarmed Israel's government. Israel's president
Benjamin Netanyahu on Monday initiated a phone conversation with Putin
to attempt to reverse the decision. However, Putin rejected the plea,
saying that "Russia’s decisions to strengthen combat capacities of
Syrian air defense meet the current situation and are geared, first of
all, to avert any potential threat to the lives of Russian servicemen
who are fighting against international terrorism."

National Security Advisor John Bolton called the decision “a
significant escalation” of the seven-year war, and Secretary of State
Mike Pompeo said on Monday he expected to meet with his Russian
counterpart Sergei Lavrov to discuss the matter.

The S-300 systems could potentially be a game-changer in the potential
conflict between Iran and Israel. Israel has sought for years to
convince the Russians not to supply S-300s to the Syrians or the
Iranians, and Russia has cooperated with the Israelis to the extent of
permitting them to conduct airstrikes against Iranian assets in Syria
which could threaten Israel.

But right now it looks like that cooperation may be changing. The
S-300 missiles, combined with jamming of electronic communications,
will make it easier for Iran to deploy weapons in Syria or Lebanon
that could be used by the Iranians or Hezbollah to attack Israel.

Israel does not have the capability to defeat Russia's electronic
jamming technology, but some reports indicate that the US does, and
Israel may request aid from the US. Reuters and Debka (Israel) and Tass (Moscow) and Al-Jazeera

Related Articles

John J. Xenakis is author of the book, Iran's Struggle for
Supremacy: Tehran's Obsession to Redraw the Map of the Middle
East
, available on Amazon for $5 for the digital version or $7 for the paperback version.


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Russia, Syria, Israel,
S-200 anti-aircraft system. S-300 anti-aircraft system.
Vladimir Putin, Bashar al-Assad, Benjamin Netanyahu,
Ilyushin Il-20 reconnaissance plane, IL-20, F-16,
John Bolton, Mike Pompeo, Sergei Lavrov, Sergei Shoigu

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25-Sep-18 World View -- Russia will supply S-300 systems to Syria, and jam Israeli co - by John J. Xenakis - 09-24-2018, 10:42 PM
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