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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 28-Sep-18 World View -- Number of Kashmir militants surges as India's 'Operation All-Out' fails

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Clashes in Kashmir after Indian police brutally kill innocent shepherd
  • Number of Kashmir militants surges as India's 'Operation All-Out' fails

****
**** Clashes in Kashmir after Indian police brutally kill innocent shepherd
****


[Image: g180927b.jpg]
Mohammad Saleem Malik's mother grieves at the funeral for her son on Thursday (AP)

Details are scarce, but Mohammad Saleem Malik, a 26 year old shepherd
boy, was found dead in a courtyard by his family on Thursday morning,
near his home in Srinigar, the capital city of Indian-controlled
Kashmir. Two hours earlier, he had left his room and entered the
cattle shed to check his sheeps and goats. Indian government security
forces had been conducting a "cordon-and-search operation" (CASO), and
allegedly fired indiscriminately at the neighborhood houses before
dawn.

According to his father Muhammad Yaqoob Malik:

<QUOTE>"My son was fond of rearing sheep and pigeons and
never in his life he had picked up a stone in his hand [to fling
at police]. Why was he killed when he was not a militant, with
clean police record? Why was he killed when no militant was
present in the area and there was no encounter at
all?"<END QUOTE>


Clashes erupted soon after the news of the killing spread in the area
with the locals alleging that Malik was killed in forces’ firing. In
the ensuing exchange of fire, a militant was killed and three soldiers
were wounded, one of whom died.

A Kashmir separatist group, the Joint Resistance Leadership (JRL), is
calling for a shutdown of Kashmir on Friday. First Post (India) and Kashmir Watch and Rising Kashmir

****
**** Number of Kashmir militants surges as India's 'Operation All-Out' fails
****


In May of last year, with tit-for-tat violence between Kashmir
separatist insurgents and Indian security forces escalating, Indian
security forces launched a massive house-to-house sweep
in Kashmir, using 3,000 security forces to
root out terrorists.

Then in June Indian security forces launched "Operation All-Out."
According to India said that this would "deliver a lethal blow to
terrorism in Jammu and Kashmir with a long-term plan for a lasting
peace in the trouble-torn Valley."

At the time that Operation All-Out was announced, Indian
security forces had identified 128 militants in Kashmir
who would be targeted.

However, that was then. Earlier this month, the list of militants
kept by the Indian security forces had more than 300 names on it.
According to a senior police officer:

<QUOTE>"There has been a significant increase in the number
of militants. The main reason for the high number of militants
has been local recruitment since 2017. Last year 126 Valley youths
picked up guns- which was the highest number since 2010 and this
year over 130 have been inducted into militancy."<END QUOTE>


The significance of this statement is that it indicates a major
change. In the past, militants came from Pakistan. In most cases,
they were in Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT), a Pakistan-based terrorist group
that was formed in the 1990s by Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence
(ISI) agency to fight India in the disputed regions of Kashmir and
Jammu. LeT was the perpetrator of the horrific "26/11" three-day
attack on Mumbai in 2008, killing 166 people and wounding hundreds
more. ( "After Mumbai's '26/11' nightmare finally ends, India - Pakistan relations face crisis"
from 2008)

The major change, as the police officer's statement indicates, is that
militants are now being recruited indigenously. Most of them join
Hizbul Mujahedeen (HM), a Kashmir-based terrorist group that has been
leading the anti-Indian stone-throwing riots, triggered by the July 8 2016 death of HM leader Burhan Wani in a gunfight with the Indian army.
Since then, thousands of
Kashmiris have been blinded in one or both eyes by pellet guns used by
Indian security forces, and thousands of youths have been arrested.

From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, Kashmir is replaying
previous generations of violence according to a fairly standard
template. India's previous two generational crisis wars were India's
1857 Rebellion, which pitted Hindu nationalists against British
colonists, and then the 1947 Partition War, one of the bloodiest wars
of the 20th century, pitting Hindus versus Muslims, following the
partitioning of the Indian subcontinent into India and Pakistan.

Now, as the survivors of the 1947 Partition War have almost all died
off, leaving behind younger generations with no fear of repeating past
disasters, Kashmir is repeating the violence of 1857 and 1947.
Generational Dynamics predicts that Kashmir is returning to full-scale
war, re-fighting the extremely bloody partition war of 1947. Tribune India and DailyO (India)

Related Articles:



KEYS: Generational Dynamics, India, Kashmir, Mohammad Saleem Malik,
Muhammad Yaqoob Malik, Joint Resistance Leadership, JRL,
Operation All-Out, Lashkar-e-Toiba, LeT,
Hizbul Mujahedeen, HM, Burhan Wani

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John J. Xenakis
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-18-2018, 03:42 AM
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28-Sep-18 World View -- Number of Kashmir militants surges as India's 'Operation All- - by John J. Xenakis - 09-27-2018, 10:41 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 09-25-2019, 11:12 AM
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