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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 18-Oct-18 World View -- Ukraine counters Russia's military buildup in the Sea of Azov

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Ukraine counters Russia's military buildup in the Sea of Azov
  • Ukraine prepares to challenge Russia in the Sea of Azov
  • Violent school massacre in occupied Crimea kills 19 people

****
**** Ukraine counters Russia's military buildup in the Sea of Azov
****


[Image: kerch.gif]
Ukraine. In 2014, Russia invaded and occupied Donbas, and invaded and annexed Crimea. In 2018, Russia completed a bridge over the Kerch Strait, controlling access to the Sea of Azov.

Readers who remember ancient history (2014) may recall a war between
Russia and Ukraine. Russia invaded Donbas (eastern Ukraine) and is
still occupying it, and then Russia invaded, occupied and annexed
Ukraine's Crimea peninsula.

The war in Donbas has not ended, as there have been regular clashes
between Ukrainian and Russian forces. These clashes have occasionally
been severe enough for observers to raise concerns that Russia was
planning a new offensive for Russian forces to attack and occupy the
seaports at Mariupol and Berdyansk, and then continue to move west in
order to create a land bridge between Russia and occupied Crimea.

That hasn't happened, but many observers believe that Russia is making
preparations to accomplish the same objective through a naval attack
from the Sea of Azov. In the last three years, the Russians have been
doing the following:
  • Built a bridge from Russia to occupied Crimea over the Kerch
    Strait.

  • Use this bridge to control access of commercial ships to Ukraine
    ports along the Sea of Azov.

  • Relocate an armada of Russian ships into the Sea of Azov.

  • Constantly harrass international shipping through the Kerch Strait
    and in the Sea of Azov. According to the US State Department, Russia
    has blocked dozens of commercial ships trying to reach Ukrainian
    ports.

Many observers believe that these steps are all in preparation for a
naval assault on Mariupol, Berdyansk, and other Ukrainian ports along
the Sea of Azov, with the objective of creating a land bridge between
Russia and occupied Crimea, and to taking full military control of the
entire Sea of Azov. US State Dept. and RFE/RL
and RFE/RL (7-Aug)

****
**** Ukraine prepares to challenge Russia in the Sea of Azov
****


Following years of neglect, Ukraine is hurriedly tying to reinforce
its naval capabilities in the Sea of Azov. Ukraine is considering
buying three Danish Standard Flex 300 patrol vessels for $117 million,
and has received two Island-class Coast Guard cutters from the United
States. These vessels will be upgraded and deployed in the Sea of
Azov.

However, this attempt to stand up an "Azov Flotilla" will not be
enough to challenge Russia's overwhelming naval presence, consisting
of around 50-70 Russian "coast guard" vessels.

For that reason, Ukraine is also formulating a diplomatic and
political strategy to challenge Russia. This would include seeking
support from Nato and the European Union, and lodging a complaint
against Russia at the Permanent Court of Arbitration.

With both Ukraine and Russia becoming increasingly aggressive, the Sea
of Asov is becoming an increasingly important flash point that could
lead to a new conflict.

From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, both Russia and
Ukraine are in a generational Crisis era. In 1932-33, millions of
innocent Ukrainians – men, women, and children – starved to death as a
result of the deliberate policies of the regime of Joseph Stalin. The
genocidal atrocity is known as the Holodomor, which means "death by
hunger." Stalin's regime seized crops and farms across Ukraine,
leaving the population to starve to death. It's quite possible that
Russia's president Vladimir Putin would like to find a way to repeat
Stalin's achievement. Jamestown and Daily Signal and Sputnik News and Government of Ukraine
and (Trans)

Related Articles:

****
**** Violent school massacre in occupied Crimea kills 19 people
****


[Image: g181017c.jpg]
CCTV image of shooter Vladislav Roslyakov on Wednesday at school. His outfit is similar to that of Columbine High School killer Eric Harris

An 18-year-old Russian student, Vladislav Roslyakov, on Wednesday
exploded a homemade nail bomb and then went on a shooting rampage,
killing 19 others before killing himself in the school library.

The mass school shooting at occurred at the Kerch Polytechnic College,
in the city of Kerch in occupied Crimea. The city is located on the
eastern shore of Crimea on the Black Sea near the Kerch Strait.

Russian officials initially went into their usual spin and deception
mode, trying to hide what happened, or put the blame on anyone but
themselves. They first reported it as a gas explosion, and then said
it was a terrorist bombing.

Russian politicians in Crimea's parliament then tried to put the blame
on Ukrainian nationalists, saying, "The entire evil inflicted on the
land of Crimea is coming from the official Ukrainian authorities."
But friends of the shooter said that the teenager hated the school and
that he wanted revenge against his teachers.

There are similarities between this school shooting and the April 20,
1999, massacre at Columbine High School, in Columbine Colorado that
killed 13 people. Roslyakov was dressed in an outfit similar to that
of Eric Harris, one of the killers in the Columbine massacre.
Furthermore Roslyakov killed himself in the school library, just as
Harris and his partner killed themselves in the school library.
CBS News and Daily Mail (London) and AP



KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Ukraine, Russia, Donbas, Crimea,
Kerch Strait, Sea of Azov, Mariupol, Berdyansk,
Josef Stalin, Holodomor, Vladimir Putin
Kerch Polytechnic College, Vladislav Roslyakov,
Columbine High School

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John J. Xenakis
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-18-2018, 03:42 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-19-2018, 04:39 AM
18-Oct-18 World View -- Ukraine counters Russia's military buildup in the Sea of Azov - by John J. Xenakis - 10-17-2018, 10:35 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 09-25-2019, 11:12 AM
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