12-01-2018, 12:05 AM
*** 1-Dec-18 World View -- Evidence grows of Assad's 'final solution', extermination of Arab Sunnis in Syria
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Evidence grows of Assad's 'final solution', extermination of Arab Sunnis in Syria
****
![[Image: g181130b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g181130b.jpg)
Hezbollah and Syrian flags flutter in August 28, 2017 (Reuters)
I've written thousands of articles on Syria since the war began in
2011. There were little bits and pieces of the story that didn't
always make sense, but now they're all beginning to fit together, like
a collection of jigsaw puzzle pieces fitting together to form a big
picture.
The big picture now is that Christian Russia and Shia Iran have joined
with the Syria's president Bashar al-Assad to bring about the
extermination of Sunni Arabs and Turkmens, and repopulation of their
former homes with Shias from Iran and Hezbollah, and their families.
Al-Assad has been moving through different regions of Syria. He
begins by bombing peaceful protesters, particularly women and
children. As soon as someone become violent in revenge, he declares
the whole community or ethnic group to be "terrorists," and uses that
as an excuse for full-scale genocide and ethnic cleansing. The
genocide is performed with missiles, barrel bombs, chlorine gas and
Sarin gas, all particularly targeting women and children, as well as
schools, markets, and hospitals.
Al-Assad's ethnic cleansing policy as applied locally to different
regions -- Aleppo, Ghouta, Daraa -- has been well-documented by
thousands of media reports, as I've been reporting for years. It's
been suspected that there's a larger picture that al-Assad was
plotting to completely exterminate or cleanse Sunnis across the
country. This has been denied by the Syrians and their trolls.
However, evidence has been growing in the last six months that show
exactly how al-Assad plans to implement his "final solution,"
eliminating all Sunnis in Syria.
As I reported in May, the ethnic cleansing is accomplished by making
it impossible for refugees to return to their homes. Last month,
Syria's government passed 'Law #10',
which makes it almost impossible for refugees to return to
their former homes. There are millions of Syrian refugees who have
fled to Lebanon, Jordan, Turkey, Europe and other countries who will
not be able to return home, and are effectively stranded in the
country they fled to.
On April 2, the Syrian government of the Bashar al-Assad regime passed
"Law #10," a complex new property law that requires property holders
in Syria to produce documentation to formally prove ownership of their
private property within a period of 30 days, or face confiscation.
Since millions of Arab Sunnis have fled to other countries, there is
no possibility that they would be able to provide the documentation
and proof of ownership. There are also reports that Arab Sunnis who
do have proof of ownership are beaten and tortured when they apply to
Syrian authorities to have their property restored.
This means that there are large regions of Syria that have been
completely cleansed of Arab Sunnis. The only question that remained
was: Who was going to occupy the regions that al-Assad had cleansed?
Asharq Al-Awsat (Saudi Arabia) and Al Ahram (Egypt, 14-Dec-2016) and Mideast Forum (15-Mar-2017) and Washington Institute
****
**** Al-Assad issues citizenship cards to Iranian and Hezbollah Shias
****
Since late 2016, there have been reports of Iranians moving into the
areas that al-Assad cleansed of Arab Sunnis. As reported at the time,
a senior leader in Lebanon said, "Iran and the regime don’t want any
Sunnis between Damascus and Homs and the Lebanese border. This
represents a historic shift in populations."
Recent reports in the last few months describe how al-Assad is
arranging for a massive influx of Iranian and Hezbollah Shias to move
into the regions from which the Sunni Arabs have been cleansed.
Early this year, Syria announced a plan to issue new ID cards to
Syrian citizens as well a new passports, invalidating the old
documents.
In recent months, several web sites, mostly opposed to the al-Assad
regime, have been posting documents and reporting that the region is
naturalizing members of Iranian and Hezbollah militias as Syrian
citizens. In combination with "Law #10," previous described, this
provides for the repopulation of regions that have been cleanse of
Sunni Arabs who are in foreign refugee camps with no chance of
reclaiming their property.
One web site posted a Syrian government document granting citizenship
to several dozen members of Iran's Revolutionary Guards (IRGC).
According to the web site:
<QUOTE>"These official documents indicate that the Syrian
regime is systematically settling Iranians in different parts of
Syria in order to change the demographics [of these areas] by
granting citizenship to Shi'ite Iranians and settling them in
Sunni areas whose original inhabitants have been expelled... The
document presented [here] is not the only one; hundreds of
thousands [of Shi'ite] have been granted [Syrian] citizenship and
settled in various areas, most of them members and operatives in
the Iranian IRGC... These Iranians have begun to receive Syrian
citizenship, as preparation for bringing in their families and
settling in the areas to which they have been
assigned."<END QUOTE>
In April, a Syrian opposition web site reported that "the Passports
and Immigration Department in Damascus recently issued 200,000
passports to Iranians." A Lebanon newspaper, Al-Nahar, reports that
the Syrian president "has issued [Syrian] identity cards to some two
million Iranians and operatives of militias belonging to the Iranian
IRGC Qods Force, and to their families, as well to Hezbollah
[operatives]. The [regime] does not just issue them Syrian identity
cards, but helps them to settle in parts of Damascus's Ghouta and in
the rural areas of Damascus, Hama, Homs and Aleppo that have been
emptied of their original inhabitants." The report adds that "many
members of the Iranian regime have obtained Syrian identity cards in
order to evade the American sanctions." MEMRI (26-Nov-2018) and Guardian (London, 13-Jan-2017) and Syrian Observer (4-May-2018)
****
**** Al-Assad and Russia ally with ISIS against Arab Sunnis
****
As I said earlier, the little bits and pieces of the war in Syria are
beginning to fit together, like a collection of jigsaw puzzle pieces
fitting together to form a big picture.
Most Westerners assume that once the war ends, Syria will return to
some sort of balance such as existed prior to 2011. In particular,
the 12 million or so Syrians who have been displaced from their homes,
including the millions that have fled to neighboring countries,
including Europe, would return to their homes when the war ended,
according to the common.
However, we now know that this will never happen, and that this was
never the intention. The millions of Syrian refugees that fled to
other countries, many in refugee camps, are stranded there, and will
never be permitted to return to their homes.
Many observers are comparing al-Assad's actions to those of Israel in
the 1947-48 war between Jews and Arabs. Hundreds of thousands of
Palestinians were forced to flee from their homes in what is now
Israel, and forced to live in Palestinian refugee camps, with
descendants who will never be permitted to return to their
grandparents' homes. Al-Assad expects the same thing: that Syrian
refugees will be forced to remain in refugee camps, and they and their
children will never be permitted to return.
One of those Palestinian refugee camps was on the outskirts of Latakia
in western Syria. In August 2011, al-Assad launched a violent ethnic
cleansing attack, causing tens of thousands of residents to flee.
Today, that region is being repopulated by Iranian and Hezbollah
Shias.
I wrote about this attack in 2011, before I understood what was really
going on. Here's what
I wrote at the time:
<QUOTE>"Assad's forces have avoided the neighborhoods of
Assad's Alawite sect, and instead have been targeting Sunni Muslim
neighborhoods, including a large Palestinian refugee camp in
Latakia's al-Ramel district. Five to ten thousand refugees were
forced to flee, and their whereabouts are unknown, according to
the BBC. Newspapers in the region have expressed anger about Arab
states' failure to respond to events in Syria.
Another report indicates that Assad's security forces began
ordering residents of the Ramleh region, which includes a refugee
camp housing more than 10,000 Palestinians, to go to a soccer
stadium ahead of what they described as a huge military operation.
After the people were herded into the stadium, security forces
took away their identification cards and cellphones. At least
five people were confirmed dead, according to the LA Times"<END QUOTE>
We now know that in fact this was the beginning of al-Assad's policy
of ethnic cleansing and genocide.
Al-Assad used an ethnic cleansing / genocide methodology that he's
repeated many times after that. He would begin by bombing peaceful
protesters, or any civilians whether protesting or not. Once there
was any kind of violent counter-reaction, al-Assad would declare the
entire population to be terrorists. He would then go into a
full-scale extermination, using missile barrages, barrel bombs,
chlorine gas and Sarin gas.
An analogy in America would be if someone from Black Lives Matter
killed a white policeman, and the Trump administration retaliated by
exterminating an entire population of blacks, using missiles, bombs
and other weapons.
Al-Assad's use of chlorine gas was particularly effective. Al-Assad
used Vladimir Putin's "Grozny strategy," where warplanes attack
hospitals, schools and markets with the objective of creating millions
of refugees, who can then be attacked while they're out in the open.
A refinement developed by al-Assad's forces is to drop barrel bombs
filled with metals, explosives, and chlorine gas. The metals would
kill as many people as possible, and the chlorine gas, which is
heavier than air, would fall into basements and bunkers where women
and children were hiding. Once they were forced out into the open,
additional barrel bombs and missiles or Sarin gas could kill the women
and children en masse.
It was never entirely clear why al-Assad attacked the Latakia
Palestinian refugee camp, but it's now clear that he meant to
exterminate or remove all the residents so that the area could be
repopulated by Iranian and Hezbollah Shias.
The attack on the Latakia camp had another consequence. The attack
was widely reported in Islamic media around the world as an attack by
al-Assad's Shia army and Russia's Christian warplanes on innocent
Sunni women and children. The result was that tens of thousands of
young Sunni jihadists from over 80 countries came to Syria to fight
against al-Assad. These were foreign fighters who, in 2014, formed
the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or Daesh).
The relationship between al-Assad and ISIS has always been puzzling,
because al-Assad and the Russians never attacked ISIS, but always
seemed willing to allow them to grow and prosper as if they were
al-Assad's ally. As it turned out, ISIS was al-Assad's ally. The
foreign fighters in ISIS were fighting for control of territory in
eastern Syria and Iraq, and they were fighting Syrian Sunni Arabs to
gain that territory. In other words, al-Assad and ISIS were allies,
killing the same enemy -- indigenous Sunni Arabs.
ISIS was launching terrorist attacks in Europe, which al-Assad and
Vladimir Putin were apparently very pleased about. This justified,
and continues to justify, an American military presence in Syria,
whether Bashar al-Assad likes it or not. It was only the Americans
that were determined to eliminate ISIS. The mainly Kurdish YPG
forces, backed by American warplanes and logistics, finally defeated
ISIS in their Caliphate capital city, Raqqa.
****
**** The future of Idlib
****
Idlib is the province in northwest Syria, along the border with
Turkey.
As the Syrian regime, along with the Christian Russians and Shia
Iranians, conducted ethnic cleansing and genocide in one region after
another, Bashar al-Assad always agreed to a "humanitarian" solution,
as requested by a series of credulous United Nations envoys, who were all useful idiots.
The solution
was that any Sunni Arabs that hadn't been killed would be permitted to
leave the region and flee to Idlib province.
It now turns out that this was just another part of the jigsaw puzzle
that forms the entire picture. Al-Assad has arranged for much of
Syria to be demographically changed, with Iranian and Hezbollah Shias
and their families to live in areas that have been cleansed of Arab
Sunnis. The Arab Sunnis and Turkmens have been gathered into Idlib
province in the northwest, where their security is supposedly
guaranteed by Turkey, although Turkey seems to be overwhelmed.
So now al-Assad and Iran are in control of western and southern Syria,
where they present a continuing threat to Israel. But what's the
future of Idlib?
There are three million people in Idlib, and half of them are
displaced people who fled al-Assad's violence in other regions. Of
the three million civilians, there are an estimated 60,000 or so
anti-Assad rebels in Idlib. No one doubts that al-Assad would be
happy to kill all three million people in Idlib, using the anti-Assad
rebels as an excuse.
Some observers believe that al-Assad will just let Idlib be, even
though those anti-Assad rebels could launch attacks at any time on the
regime.
Bashar al-Assad is a psychopathic monster, the worst war criminal so
far this century. Al-Assad has gotten this far in ethnic cleansing
large areas and repopulating the cleansed areas with Iranian and
Hezbollah Shias. He is not going to stop at Idlib, even if attacking
Idlib creates millions more refugees and the greatest humanitarian
disaster so far this century.
For Iran, the goal would be completion of the "Shia Crescent": Support
the Houthis to defeat the Saudis in Yemen; continue taking control of
the government in Baghdad; repopulate the Arab Sunni areas of Syria
with Iranian and Hezbollah Shias; continue to support Hezbollah in
Lebanon to attack Israel, and wipe it off the map.
For Christian Russia and Shia Iran, this would be the greatest
genocidal victory so far this century.
As I've written many times, Generational Dynamics predicts that the
Mideast is headed for a major regional war refighting the 1948 war
between Jews and Arabs that followed the partitioning of Palestine and
the creation of the state of Israel. The war will also pit Sunnis
versus Shias, and various ethnic groups against each other.
Generational Dynamics predicts that in the approaching Clash of
Civilizations world war, the "axis" of China, Pakistan and the Sunni
Muslim countries will be pitted against the "allies," the US, India,
Russia and Iran. AFP (25-May-2018) and Orient News (Syria/UAE, 4-Sep-2016)
Related Articles:
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Syria, Bashar al-Assad, Law #10,
Russia, Iran, Aleppo, Ghouta, Daraa, Idlib, Latakia, El-Ramel,
Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh,
Yemen, Iraq, Lebanon, Israel
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Evidence grows of Assad's 'final solution', extermination of Arab Sunnis in Syria
- Al-Assad issues citizenship cards to Iranian and Hezbollah Shias
- Al-Assad and Russia ally with ISIS against Arab Sunnis
- The future of Idlib
****
**** Evidence grows of Assad's 'final solution', extermination of Arab Sunnis in Syria
****
Hezbollah and Syrian flags flutter in August 28, 2017 (Reuters)
I've written thousands of articles on Syria since the war began in
2011. There were little bits and pieces of the story that didn't
always make sense, but now they're all beginning to fit together, like
a collection of jigsaw puzzle pieces fitting together to form a big
picture.
The big picture now is that Christian Russia and Shia Iran have joined
with the Syria's president Bashar al-Assad to bring about the
extermination of Sunni Arabs and Turkmens, and repopulation of their
former homes with Shias from Iran and Hezbollah, and their families.
Al-Assad has been moving through different regions of Syria. He
begins by bombing peaceful protesters, particularly women and
children. As soon as someone become violent in revenge, he declares
the whole community or ethnic group to be "terrorists," and uses that
as an excuse for full-scale genocide and ethnic cleansing. The
genocide is performed with missiles, barrel bombs, chlorine gas and
Sarin gas, all particularly targeting women and children, as well as
schools, markets, and hospitals.
Al-Assad's ethnic cleansing policy as applied locally to different
regions -- Aleppo, Ghouta, Daraa -- has been well-documented by
thousands of media reports, as I've been reporting for years. It's
been suspected that there's a larger picture that al-Assad was
plotting to completely exterminate or cleanse Sunnis across the
country. This has been denied by the Syrians and their trolls.
However, evidence has been growing in the last six months that show
exactly how al-Assad plans to implement his "final solution,"
eliminating all Sunnis in Syria.
As I reported in May, the ethnic cleansing is accomplished by making
it impossible for refugees to return to their homes. Last month,
Syria's government passed 'Law #10',
which makes it almost impossible for refugees to return to
their former homes. There are millions of Syrian refugees who have
fled to Lebanon, Jordan, Turkey, Europe and other countries who will
not be able to return home, and are effectively stranded in the
country they fled to.
On April 2, the Syrian government of the Bashar al-Assad regime passed
"Law #10," a complex new property law that requires property holders
in Syria to produce documentation to formally prove ownership of their
private property within a period of 30 days, or face confiscation.
Since millions of Arab Sunnis have fled to other countries, there is
no possibility that they would be able to provide the documentation
and proof of ownership. There are also reports that Arab Sunnis who
do have proof of ownership are beaten and tortured when they apply to
Syrian authorities to have their property restored.
This means that there are large regions of Syria that have been
completely cleansed of Arab Sunnis. The only question that remained
was: Who was going to occupy the regions that al-Assad had cleansed?
Asharq Al-Awsat (Saudi Arabia) and Al Ahram (Egypt, 14-Dec-2016) and Mideast Forum (15-Mar-2017) and Washington Institute
****
**** Al-Assad issues citizenship cards to Iranian and Hezbollah Shias
****
Since late 2016, there have been reports of Iranians moving into the
areas that al-Assad cleansed of Arab Sunnis. As reported at the time,
a senior leader in Lebanon said, "Iran and the regime don’t want any
Sunnis between Damascus and Homs and the Lebanese border. This
represents a historic shift in populations."
Recent reports in the last few months describe how al-Assad is
arranging for a massive influx of Iranian and Hezbollah Shias to move
into the regions from which the Sunni Arabs have been cleansed.
Early this year, Syria announced a plan to issue new ID cards to
Syrian citizens as well a new passports, invalidating the old
documents.
In recent months, several web sites, mostly opposed to the al-Assad
regime, have been posting documents and reporting that the region is
naturalizing members of Iranian and Hezbollah militias as Syrian
citizens. In combination with "Law #10," previous described, this
provides for the repopulation of regions that have been cleanse of
Sunni Arabs who are in foreign refugee camps with no chance of
reclaiming their property.
One web site posted a Syrian government document granting citizenship
to several dozen members of Iran's Revolutionary Guards (IRGC).
According to the web site:
<QUOTE>"These official documents indicate that the Syrian
regime is systematically settling Iranians in different parts of
Syria in order to change the demographics [of these areas] by
granting citizenship to Shi'ite Iranians and settling them in
Sunni areas whose original inhabitants have been expelled... The
document presented [here] is not the only one; hundreds of
thousands [of Shi'ite] have been granted [Syrian] citizenship and
settled in various areas, most of them members and operatives in
the Iranian IRGC... These Iranians have begun to receive Syrian
citizenship, as preparation for bringing in their families and
settling in the areas to which they have been
assigned."<END QUOTE>
In April, a Syrian opposition web site reported that "the Passports
and Immigration Department in Damascus recently issued 200,000
passports to Iranians." A Lebanon newspaper, Al-Nahar, reports that
the Syrian president "has issued [Syrian] identity cards to some two
million Iranians and operatives of militias belonging to the Iranian
IRGC Qods Force, and to their families, as well to Hezbollah
[operatives]. The [regime] does not just issue them Syrian identity
cards, but helps them to settle in parts of Damascus's Ghouta and in
the rural areas of Damascus, Hama, Homs and Aleppo that have been
emptied of their original inhabitants." The report adds that "many
members of the Iranian regime have obtained Syrian identity cards in
order to evade the American sanctions." MEMRI (26-Nov-2018) and Guardian (London, 13-Jan-2017) and Syrian Observer (4-May-2018)
****
**** Al-Assad and Russia ally with ISIS against Arab Sunnis
****
As I said earlier, the little bits and pieces of the war in Syria are
beginning to fit together, like a collection of jigsaw puzzle pieces
fitting together to form a big picture.
Most Westerners assume that once the war ends, Syria will return to
some sort of balance such as existed prior to 2011. In particular,
the 12 million or so Syrians who have been displaced from their homes,
including the millions that have fled to neighboring countries,
including Europe, would return to their homes when the war ended,
according to the common.
However, we now know that this will never happen, and that this was
never the intention. The millions of Syrian refugees that fled to
other countries, many in refugee camps, are stranded there, and will
never be permitted to return to their homes.
Many observers are comparing al-Assad's actions to those of Israel in
the 1947-48 war between Jews and Arabs. Hundreds of thousands of
Palestinians were forced to flee from their homes in what is now
Israel, and forced to live in Palestinian refugee camps, with
descendants who will never be permitted to return to their
grandparents' homes. Al-Assad expects the same thing: that Syrian
refugees will be forced to remain in refugee camps, and they and their
children will never be permitted to return.
One of those Palestinian refugee camps was on the outskirts of Latakia
in western Syria. In August 2011, al-Assad launched a violent ethnic
cleansing attack, causing tens of thousands of residents to flee.
Today, that region is being repopulated by Iranian and Hezbollah
Shias.
I wrote about this attack in 2011, before I understood what was really
going on. Here's what
I wrote at the time:
<QUOTE>"Assad's forces have avoided the neighborhoods of
Assad's Alawite sect, and instead have been targeting Sunni Muslim
neighborhoods, including a large Palestinian refugee camp in
Latakia's al-Ramel district. Five to ten thousand refugees were
forced to flee, and their whereabouts are unknown, according to
the BBC. Newspapers in the region have expressed anger about Arab
states' failure to respond to events in Syria.
Another report indicates that Assad's security forces began
ordering residents of the Ramleh region, which includes a refugee
camp housing more than 10,000 Palestinians, to go to a soccer
stadium ahead of what they described as a huge military operation.
After the people were herded into the stadium, security forces
took away their identification cards and cellphones. At least
five people were confirmed dead, according to the LA Times"<END QUOTE>
We now know that in fact this was the beginning of al-Assad's policy
of ethnic cleansing and genocide.
Al-Assad used an ethnic cleansing / genocide methodology that he's
repeated many times after that. He would begin by bombing peaceful
protesters, or any civilians whether protesting or not. Once there
was any kind of violent counter-reaction, al-Assad would declare the
entire population to be terrorists. He would then go into a
full-scale extermination, using missile barrages, barrel bombs,
chlorine gas and Sarin gas.
An analogy in America would be if someone from Black Lives Matter
killed a white policeman, and the Trump administration retaliated by
exterminating an entire population of blacks, using missiles, bombs
and other weapons.
Al-Assad's use of chlorine gas was particularly effective. Al-Assad
used Vladimir Putin's "Grozny strategy," where warplanes attack
hospitals, schools and markets with the objective of creating millions
of refugees, who can then be attacked while they're out in the open.
A refinement developed by al-Assad's forces is to drop barrel bombs
filled with metals, explosives, and chlorine gas. The metals would
kill as many people as possible, and the chlorine gas, which is
heavier than air, would fall into basements and bunkers where women
and children were hiding. Once they were forced out into the open,
additional barrel bombs and missiles or Sarin gas could kill the women
and children en masse.
It was never entirely clear why al-Assad attacked the Latakia
Palestinian refugee camp, but it's now clear that he meant to
exterminate or remove all the residents so that the area could be
repopulated by Iranian and Hezbollah Shias.
The attack on the Latakia camp had another consequence. The attack
was widely reported in Islamic media around the world as an attack by
al-Assad's Shia army and Russia's Christian warplanes on innocent
Sunni women and children. The result was that tens of thousands of
young Sunni jihadists from over 80 countries came to Syria to fight
against al-Assad. These were foreign fighters who, in 2014, formed
the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or Daesh).
The relationship between al-Assad and ISIS has always been puzzling,
because al-Assad and the Russians never attacked ISIS, but always
seemed willing to allow them to grow and prosper as if they were
al-Assad's ally. As it turned out, ISIS was al-Assad's ally. The
foreign fighters in ISIS were fighting for control of territory in
eastern Syria and Iraq, and they were fighting Syrian Sunni Arabs to
gain that territory. In other words, al-Assad and ISIS were allies,
killing the same enemy -- indigenous Sunni Arabs.
ISIS was launching terrorist attacks in Europe, which al-Assad and
Vladimir Putin were apparently very pleased about. This justified,
and continues to justify, an American military presence in Syria,
whether Bashar al-Assad likes it or not. It was only the Americans
that were determined to eliminate ISIS. The mainly Kurdish YPG
forces, backed by American warplanes and logistics, finally defeated
ISIS in their Caliphate capital city, Raqqa.
****
**** The future of Idlib
****
Idlib is the province in northwest Syria, along the border with
Turkey.
As the Syrian regime, along with the Christian Russians and Shia
Iranians, conducted ethnic cleansing and genocide in one region after
another, Bashar al-Assad always agreed to a "humanitarian" solution,
as requested by a series of credulous United Nations envoys, who were all useful idiots.
The solution
was that any Sunni Arabs that hadn't been killed would be permitted to
leave the region and flee to Idlib province.
It now turns out that this was just another part of the jigsaw puzzle
that forms the entire picture. Al-Assad has arranged for much of
Syria to be demographically changed, with Iranian and Hezbollah Shias
and their families to live in areas that have been cleansed of Arab
Sunnis. The Arab Sunnis and Turkmens have been gathered into Idlib
province in the northwest, where their security is supposedly
guaranteed by Turkey, although Turkey seems to be overwhelmed.
So now al-Assad and Iran are in control of western and southern Syria,
where they present a continuing threat to Israel. But what's the
future of Idlib?
There are three million people in Idlib, and half of them are
displaced people who fled al-Assad's violence in other regions. Of
the three million civilians, there are an estimated 60,000 or so
anti-Assad rebels in Idlib. No one doubts that al-Assad would be
happy to kill all three million people in Idlib, using the anti-Assad
rebels as an excuse.
Some observers believe that al-Assad will just let Idlib be, even
though those anti-Assad rebels could launch attacks at any time on the
regime.
Bashar al-Assad is a psychopathic monster, the worst war criminal so
far this century. Al-Assad has gotten this far in ethnic cleansing
large areas and repopulating the cleansed areas with Iranian and
Hezbollah Shias. He is not going to stop at Idlib, even if attacking
Idlib creates millions more refugees and the greatest humanitarian
disaster so far this century.
For Iran, the goal would be completion of the "Shia Crescent": Support
the Houthis to defeat the Saudis in Yemen; continue taking control of
the government in Baghdad; repopulate the Arab Sunni areas of Syria
with Iranian and Hezbollah Shias; continue to support Hezbollah in
Lebanon to attack Israel, and wipe it off the map.
For Christian Russia and Shia Iran, this would be the greatest
genocidal victory so far this century.
As I've written many times, Generational Dynamics predicts that the
Mideast is headed for a major regional war refighting the 1948 war
between Jews and Arabs that followed the partitioning of Palestine and
the creation of the state of Israel. The war will also pit Sunnis
versus Shias, and various ethnic groups against each other.
Generational Dynamics predicts that in the approaching Clash of
Civilizations world war, the "axis" of China, Pakistan and the Sunni
Muslim countries will be pitted against the "allies," the US, India,
Russia and Iran. AFP (25-May-2018) and Orient News (Syria/UAE, 4-Sep-2016)
Related Articles:
- Syria peace summit issues delusional call for political solution in Idlib (28-Oct-2018)
- As October 25 deadline approaches, Syria's Idlib is set up for a classic Greek tragedy (05-Oct-2018)
- Russia demands that US and EU pay to rebuild Syria (23-Aug-2018)
- US increasingly expresses total disgust with Syria regime for Bashar al-Assad's atrocities (21-Sep-2016)
- Turkey threatens Syria, as military attacks Palestinian refugee camp (16-Aug-2011)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Syria, Bashar al-Assad, Law #10,
Russia, Iran, Aleppo, Ghouta, Daraa, Idlib, Latakia, El-Ramel,
Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh,
Yemen, Iraq, Lebanon, Israel
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
