12-18-2018, 12:07 AM
*** 18-Dec-18 World View -- Kashmir locked down after Indian security forces kill seven civilians
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Kashmir locked down after Indian security forces kill seven civilians
****
![[Image: g181217b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g181217b.jpg)
Kashmiris turn out for funeral of the civilians killed on Saturday (AP)
Indian-governed Kashmir was locked down with curfew-like restrictions
for a third day on Monday, after seven civilians were killed during a
shootout between militants and Indian security forces on Saturday.
Armed police and paramilitary soldiers in riot gear fanned out across
the region in anticipation of further anti-India protests and
clashes. Shops and businesses closed in other areas with no security
restrictions. Authorities stopped train services and cut cellphone
internet in Srinagar and other restive towns, and reduced connection
speeds in other parts of the Kashmir Valley, in order to prevent
anti-India demonstrations from being organized.
Seven civilians were killed and at least 36 injured in clashes that
erupted after three militants were shot dead in a gunfight in the
village of Pulwama in Indian-governed Kashmir during the early hours
on Saturday. Two soldiers were critically injured in the encounter,
and one died.
The three slain militants were identified as being associated with
Hizbul Mujahideen (HM), a home-grown indigenous militant separatist
group in Kashmir (as opposed to Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT), a
Pakistan-based terrorist group). One of the militants was Ahmad
Thokar, who had deserted from the Indian army to join HM. These
defections have been increasingly common recently. Tribune India and AP and Pakistan Today
****
**** India's 'Operation all-out' to continue as more young Kashmiris become militants
****
From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, Kashmir is replaying
previous generations of violence according to a fairly standard
template. India's previous two generational crisis wars were India's
1857 Rebellion, which pitted Hindu nationalists against British
colonists, and then the 1947 Partition War, one of the bloodiest wars
of the 20th century, pitting Hindus versus Muslims, following the
partitioning of the Indian subcontinent into India and Pakistan.
Now, as the survivors of the 1947 Partition War have almost all died
off, leaving behind younger generations with no fear of repeating past
disasters, Kashmir is repeating the violence of 1857 and 1947.
Generational Dynamics predicts that
Kashmir is returning to full-scale war, re-fighting the extremely
bloody partition war of 1947.
We're now seeing the next step in this standard template, as
generations of young Muslims in Kashmir become increasingly
self-radicalized, and replace the Pakistani-supplied terrorists in
Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT) with indigenous Kashmiris joining Hizbul
Mujahideen (HM).
A major change occurred after the July 8 2016 death of HM leader Burhan Wani in a gunfight with the Indian army.
This triggered a continuing series of demonstrations
and riots. Since then, thousands of Kashmiris have been blinded in
one or both eyes by pellet guns used by Indian security forces, and
thousands of youths have been arrested.
In this generational Crisis era, the clashes between young Kashmiris
and Indian security forces is providing the motivation for young
people to simply disappear and join HM. Parents, according to news
reports, are forced to search jihadist social media sites to search
for pictures of their sons who have disappeared.
Burhan Wani himself had joined HM after his brother Khalid was beaten
up by Indian security forces. After he was killed, he was the
inspiration for many others to join HM.
Indian politicians and security forces, who have no understanding of
generational theory, have no idea what's going on, and are looking
desperately for a way to return to the "normalcy" of twenty years ago.
This is impossible, since 20 years ago there were still survivors of
the 1947 Partition War who were willing to accept any compromise to
prevent anything so horrible from happening again. But those
survivors are gone, and the younger generations simply want revenge.
This led India's army in June 2017 to launch "Operation All-Out."
Under this plan, the army identified 258 specific militants the would
be specifically targeted and captured, thus delivering "a lethal blow
to terrorism ... with a long-term plan for a listing peace."
When Operation All-Out was announced last year, the 258 militants were
almost all in Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT). Since then, hundreds of
additional militants have been identified, and this time they're indigenous youths
joining Hizbul
Mujahideen (HM).
However, the Kashmiris have been adapting to Operation All-Out.
When Indian security forces are spotted traveling to the home
of a suspected militant, the people pour out of their homes
and block them.
That's what happened on Saturday. The security forces were
targeting three HM militants, when local
youths thronged the forces and began hurling stones. This
resulted in the live fire that killed not only the militants
but at least seven civilians.
Avinash Rai Khanna, a senior Indian politician, says that Operation
All-Out will continue "until the last terrorist is eliminated." He
blamed the deaths of the civilians on Saturday on the local youths who
threw stones. According to Khanna:
<QUOTE>"Civilian killings are unfortunate, but when people
interfere in operations and try to divert the attention of the
forces, mishaps are bound to happen. We can only appeal to people
to let the forces do their job in eliminating terrorists and not
indulge in activities like stone-throwing or cause obstruction in
operations.
We had come to power in the state with an agenda of peace and
development, but had to back out when things started going
haywire. ... We want [Kashmir] terrorism-free. Operation All-out
will reach its logical end."<END QUOTE>
Khanna assumes that the "normalcy" of twenty years ago can return, but
Generational Dynamics predicts that the militancy will continue to
worsen until the 1947 Partition War in Kashmir is refought. Tribune India and The Kashmir Walla and Hindustan Times and Dawn (Pakistan)
Related Articles:
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, India, Pakistan, Kashmir, Pulwana,
Operation All-Out, Lashkar-e-Toiba, LeT,
Hizbul Mujahedeen, HM, Burhan Wani, Jaish-e-Mohammad, JeM,
Partition War, Avinash Rai Khanna
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Kashmir locked down after Indian security forces kill seven civilians
- India's 'Operation all-out' to continue as more young Kashmiris become militants
****
**** Kashmir locked down after Indian security forces kill seven civilians
****
Kashmiris turn out for funeral of the civilians killed on Saturday (AP)
Indian-governed Kashmir was locked down with curfew-like restrictions
for a third day on Monday, after seven civilians were killed during a
shootout between militants and Indian security forces on Saturday.
Armed police and paramilitary soldiers in riot gear fanned out across
the region in anticipation of further anti-India protests and
clashes. Shops and businesses closed in other areas with no security
restrictions. Authorities stopped train services and cut cellphone
internet in Srinagar and other restive towns, and reduced connection
speeds in other parts of the Kashmir Valley, in order to prevent
anti-India demonstrations from being organized.
Seven civilians were killed and at least 36 injured in clashes that
erupted after three militants were shot dead in a gunfight in the
village of Pulwama in Indian-governed Kashmir during the early hours
on Saturday. Two soldiers were critically injured in the encounter,
and one died.
The three slain militants were identified as being associated with
Hizbul Mujahideen (HM), a home-grown indigenous militant separatist
group in Kashmir (as opposed to Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT), a
Pakistan-based terrorist group). One of the militants was Ahmad
Thokar, who had deserted from the Indian army to join HM. These
defections have been increasingly common recently. Tribune India and AP and Pakistan Today
****
**** India's 'Operation all-out' to continue as more young Kashmiris become militants
****
From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, Kashmir is replaying
previous generations of violence according to a fairly standard
template. India's previous two generational crisis wars were India's
1857 Rebellion, which pitted Hindu nationalists against British
colonists, and then the 1947 Partition War, one of the bloodiest wars
of the 20th century, pitting Hindus versus Muslims, following the
partitioning of the Indian subcontinent into India and Pakistan.
Now, as the survivors of the 1947 Partition War have almost all died
off, leaving behind younger generations with no fear of repeating past
disasters, Kashmir is repeating the violence of 1857 and 1947.
Generational Dynamics predicts that
Kashmir is returning to full-scale war, re-fighting the extremely
bloody partition war of 1947.
We're now seeing the next step in this standard template, as
generations of young Muslims in Kashmir become increasingly
self-radicalized, and replace the Pakistani-supplied terrorists in
Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT) with indigenous Kashmiris joining Hizbul
Mujahideen (HM).
A major change occurred after the July 8 2016 death of HM leader Burhan Wani in a gunfight with the Indian army.
This triggered a continuing series of demonstrations
and riots. Since then, thousands of Kashmiris have been blinded in
one or both eyes by pellet guns used by Indian security forces, and
thousands of youths have been arrested.
In this generational Crisis era, the clashes between young Kashmiris
and Indian security forces is providing the motivation for young
people to simply disappear and join HM. Parents, according to news
reports, are forced to search jihadist social media sites to search
for pictures of their sons who have disappeared.
Burhan Wani himself had joined HM after his brother Khalid was beaten
up by Indian security forces. After he was killed, he was the
inspiration for many others to join HM.
Indian politicians and security forces, who have no understanding of
generational theory, have no idea what's going on, and are looking
desperately for a way to return to the "normalcy" of twenty years ago.
This is impossible, since 20 years ago there were still survivors of
the 1947 Partition War who were willing to accept any compromise to
prevent anything so horrible from happening again. But those
survivors are gone, and the younger generations simply want revenge.
This led India's army in June 2017 to launch "Operation All-Out."
Under this plan, the army identified 258 specific militants the would
be specifically targeted and captured, thus delivering "a lethal blow
to terrorism ... with a long-term plan for a listing peace."
When Operation All-Out was announced last year, the 258 militants were
almost all in Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT). Since then, hundreds of
additional militants have been identified, and this time they're indigenous youths
joining Hizbul
Mujahideen (HM).
However, the Kashmiris have been adapting to Operation All-Out.
When Indian security forces are spotted traveling to the home
of a suspected militant, the people pour out of their homes
and block them.
That's what happened on Saturday. The security forces were
targeting three HM militants, when local
youths thronged the forces and began hurling stones. This
resulted in the live fire that killed not only the militants
but at least seven civilians.
Avinash Rai Khanna, a senior Indian politician, says that Operation
All-Out will continue "until the last terrorist is eliminated." He
blamed the deaths of the civilians on Saturday on the local youths who
threw stones. According to Khanna:
<QUOTE>"Civilian killings are unfortunate, but when people
interfere in operations and try to divert the attention of the
forces, mishaps are bound to happen. We can only appeal to people
to let the forces do their job in eliminating terrorists and not
indulge in activities like stone-throwing or cause obstruction in
operations.
We had come to power in the state with an agenda of peace and
development, but had to back out when things started going
haywire. ... We want [Kashmir] terrorism-free. Operation All-out
will reach its logical end."<END QUOTE>
Khanna assumes that the "normalcy" of twenty years ago can return, but
Generational Dynamics predicts that the militancy will continue to
worsen until the 1947 Partition War in Kashmir is refought. Tribune India and The Kashmir Walla and Hindustan Times and Dawn (Pakistan)
Related Articles:
- Number of Kashmir militants surges as India's 'Operation All-Out' fails (28-Sep-2018)
- India's Kashmir locked down after 3 civilians killed by police (09-Jul-2018)
- India's 'Operation All-Out' brings Kashmir closer to all-out war (24-Jun-2017)
- Pakistan celebrates its 70th birthday, wondering what Pakistan is (15-Aug-2017)
- India's Narendra Modi finally hits out at Cow Protectors ('Gau Rakshaks') (07-Aug-2016)
- India-Pakistan tensions grow over Kashmir issue (21-Jul-2016)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, India, Pakistan, Kashmir, Pulwana,
Operation All-Out, Lashkar-e-Toiba, LeT,
Hizbul Mujahedeen, HM, Burhan Wani, Jaish-e-Mohammad, JeM,
Partition War, Avinash Rai Khanna
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
