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Generational Dynamics World View
&&3 *** bb: gde181222b 22-Dec-18 World View -- China's CPEC project in Pakistan turns military, marginalizing Balochistan

*** 22-Dec-18 World View -- China's CPEC project in Pakistan turns military, marginalizing Balochistan
22-Dec-18 World View -- China's CPEC project in Pakistan turns military, marginalizing Balochistan

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*** 22-Dec-18 World View -- China's CPEC project in Pakistan turns military, marginalizing Balochistan

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • China's CPEC project marginalizes Pakistan's restive Balochistan province
  • NY Times: CPEC in Pakistan will build military jets and weaponry for China

****
**** China's CPEC project marginalizes Pakistan's restive Balochistan province
****


[Image: g181221b.jpg]
China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Balochistan province in the southwest occupies 44% of the land area, but is being marginalized by CPEC. (Independent.in)

Ever since the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) was launched on
May 22, 2013, both the Chinese and Pakistan government promised that
the project would bring wealth to Balochistan province, home of
Pakistan's marginalized ethnic Baloch people.

Balochistan officials have been complaining for years that Balochistan
is being shortchanged, and claim that both Pakistan and China denied.
However, it couldn't be verified, because the details of the CPEC deal
between Pakistan and China are top secret, just like all the deals in
China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) program. Many of these deals
are assumed to be "debt traps" for the countries involved, ensnaring a
country in debt to China that can't be paid back, giving China
leverage to take control of land and other assets in the client
country.

However, the Balochistan Cabinet were stunned on December 10 when some
of the secrecy was pulled back in a briefing, revealing the following:
  • Of the $62 billion CPEC project, only a minuscule $5.6 billion
    is allocated to Balochistan, even though Balochistan is by far the
    largest province in Pakistan, comprising 44% of Pakistan's total land
    mass.

  • Of the allocated $5.6 billion, less than $1 billion has been spent
    in over five years since CPEC was launched, in only two projects.

  • There was no progress on the Western Route of the corridor as none
    of the roads that are part of the so-called “western alignment” have
    seen any work. This is the part of CPEC that would be most heavily in
    Balochistan. Instead, all projects have been diverted to the eastern
    route, benefiting Punjab and Sindh provinces.

  • One of the two projects that have begun is the Hubco Coal Power
    Plant. However, even this project isn't benefiting Balochistan, since
    the generated power is going to other provinces.

  • The other project is the Gwadar Port Project, on the Indian
    Ocean. This is the crown jewel of CPEC, since the purpose of CPEC
    is to allow China, to transfer commercial and military goods
    and equipment overland from China's Xinjian province to Gwadar
    port and return. This project does not benefit Balochistan either,
    and in fact has caused a severe drinking-water shortage that
    was supposed to be fixed with desalination plants, but the
    desalinization plant projects haven't materialized.

  • Of the revenues to be generated by the Gwadar Port, 91% will go to
    China, and 9% will go to Pakistan.

  • Since neither of these two projects benefits Balochistan, the
    percentage of $62 billion for the CPEC project that benefits
    Balochistan is less than 1%.

Pakistan government officials claim that the lack of funding to
Balochistan are "concocted stories" to damage the China-Pakistan
relationship, and that they are "fully committed" to more investment
in Balochistan.

The explosive report showed that the most extreme claims of Baloch
activists have turned out to be true. The Balochistan Liberation Army
(BLA), a separatist terror group, have opposed the project since its
inception, claiming that Balochistan was being "colonized" by Punjabi
and Chinese workers. ( "6-Nov-18 World View -- Pakistan's Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) claims credit for killing CPEC workers"
)

Insurgents trying to disrupt construction of CPEC projects in
Balochistan have killed 66 persons since 2014. The BLA have been
conducting a series of terror attacks on Chinese and Punjabi workers,
and are promising to continue.
Dawn and South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP - India) and Asia Times

Related Articles:

****
**** NY Times: CPEC in Pakistan will build military jets and weaponry for China
****


China has demanded that all the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) deals
be kept top secret, and a recent report has revealed one of
the reasons why. BRI is supposed to be building roads and
bridges and ports.

But according to documents uncovered by the NY Times, China and
Pakistan plan to create a special economic zone under CPEC in Pakistan
to produce a new generation of fighter jets, navigation systems, radar
systems, and onboard weapons. This would expand China and Pakistan’s
current cooperation on the JF-17 fighter jet, which is assembled at
Pakistan’s military-run Kamra Aeronautical Complex in Punjab province.

China has already signed an agreement with Pakistan to build a network
of satellite stations to establish the Beidou Navigation System as an
alternative to the American GPS network. This will be major
technology that China provides to numerous countries in Asia, Africa
and Europe, and strengthens the military space capabilities of the
Chinese military.

Revelation of the military deal also resolves a mystery. As we've
reported numerous times, Pakistan is on the brink of bankruptcy, and
Pakistan’s first debt repayments to China are set for next year,
starting at about $300 million and gradually increasing to reach about
$3.2 billion by 2026. Pakistan has been begging for money from China,
Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates, and all have refused. Finally,
Pakistan asked the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for another loan,
but one of the conditions of an IMF loan is that every detail of the
relationship between Pakistan and China would have to be revealed.

Apparently China has had a change of heart. The Chinese Embassy in
Islamabad demanded that CPEC deals be kept secret and promised to loan
more money to Pakistan.

Generational Dynamics predicts that in the approaching Clash of
Civilizations world war, the "allies" of America, India, Russia, Iran
and the West will be at war with the "axis" of China, Pakistan and the
Sunni Muslim countries. China is Pakistan's "all-weather friend,"
whose friendship is "higher than mountains, deeper than oceans,
stronger than steel, sweeter than honey, and dearer than eyesight."
This military relationship brings the two countries ever closer
together. NY Times and The News (Pakistan) and India Times

Related Articles


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Pakistan, Imran Khan,
International Monetary Fund, IMF, China,
China Pakistan Economic Corridor, CPEC,
Balochistan, Balochistan Liberation Army, BLA,
Belt and Road Initiative, BRI, India,
Hubco Coal Power Plant, Gwadar Port Project,
Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, UAE, Punjab,
Kamra Aeronautical Complex, Beidou Navigation System

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John J. Xenakis
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22-Dec-18 World View -- China's CPEC project in Pakistan turns military, marginalizin - by John J. Xenakis - 12-21-2018, 11:47 PM
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