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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 23-Dec-18 World View -- Al-Shabaab double bombing kills 16 people in Mogadishu, Somalia

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Al-Shabaab double bombing kills 16 people in Mogadishu, Somalia
  • Somalia's 'Black Hawk Down' event affects US policy today

****
**** Al-Shabaab double bombing kills 16 people in Mogadishu, Somalia
****


[Image: g181222b.jpg]
Site of Mogadishu bombing on Saturday (AP)

A massive car bomb detonated at a military checkpoint near Somalia's
presidential palace in the capital city Mogadishu on Saturday,
followed by a smaller explosion nearby. At least 16 people were
killed, and dozens injured. The bombings appeared to target people
heading to work.

Al-Shabaab, an al-Qaeda linked terror group, took responsibility for
the attacks. One of those killed was prominent journalist Awil Dahir
Salad.

The attack comes a week after six airstrikes from US warplanes killed
62 al-Shabaab militants, according to the US military.

The US has a huge military base in neighboring Djibouti, from which
the US has launched 40 air strikes so far this year, compared to 35 in
2017. It's estimated that at least 400 people have been killed in air
strikes since the beginning of 2017, far more than the previous 10
years combined.

US airstrikes have forced al-Shabaab to change its tactics. Instead
of targeting Somali government with mass attacks and assassinations,
which expose its fighters to airstrikes, they've instead increase
urban guerrilla warfare of terrorist bombings.

Al-Shabaab (AS) is an indigenous jihadist terror group which has
pledged allegiance to al-Qaeda. There is a separate jihadist group in
Puntland (northern Somalia) affiliated with ISIS called "IS Somalia"
or ISS (Abnaa ul-Calipha). However, ISS has had nowhere near the
success in blowing people up that AS has had.

Both groups have been increasingly demanding that businesses pay them
taxes, in exchange for "protection" from bombings and terror attacks.
Thus, both AS and ISS are increasingly acting more and more like Mafia
criminals, rather than pious jihadists. AP and
Reuters and BBC and Hiraal Institute



****
**** Somalia's 'Black Hawk Down' event affects US policy today
****


In 1988, a full-scale generational crisis civil war began in Somalia
which, combined with a growing famine, was killing tens of thousands
of people. In the final days of his presidency, George H.W. Bush
committed ordered more than 20,000 troops into Somalia to calm the
situation and to “save thousands of innocents from death.”

As always happens in a generational crisis war, the situation
deteriorated, and in October 1993, elite American troops launched a
disastrous raid in the Somali capital Mogadishu. Two American Black
Hawk helicopters were shot down using rocket-propelled grenades. Some
of the survivors were rescued, but two pilots were attacked by a mob
of thousands of Somalis who hacked them to death with machetes and
dragged their mutilated bodies through the streets as trophies. The
result was a 15-hour battle that killed hundreds of Somalis, as well
as about 18 Americans and two UN soldiers.

The "Black Hawk Down" incident, which was later made into a movie, was
the climax of the Battle of Mogadishu and also the climax of Somalia's
civil war. Black Hawk Down shocked the American public, and caused
the US under Bill Clinton to withdraw its forces from Somalia in 1994,
and to be reluctant to intervene in African crises since then. So,
for example, the US stayed out of the massive Rwanda massacre in 1994,
which is probably just as well.

The American military's hasty retreat was viewed by many as a sign of
weakness -- that the United States could not tolerate military
casualties. In 1996, Osama bin Laden taunted the Clinton
administration about its withdrawal: "You left carrying
disappointment, humiliation, defeat and your dead with you."

After the terror attack on 9/11/2001, US Special Forces began
gradually returning to Africa. By 2016, 17% of all Special
Forces deployed overseas were in Africa.

About 40 American soldiers were sent to Somalia in March 2017, the
largest deployment of American troops to the Horn of Africa since
Black Hawk Down in 1993. Their job was not combat, but was rather to
train the Somalis to fight al-Shabaab on their own, supported by
American airstrikes.

Today, 17 years after 9/11, it seems clear that the "war on terror" is
not being won, and this is causing the Trump administration to
reevaluate its military policies. This has resulted in announcements
of troop withdrawals from Syria and Afghanistan, and may lead to other
announcements. Washington Post and AP

Related Articles:


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Somalia, Mogadishu, Djibouti,
al-Shabaab, AS, IS Somalia, ISS, Abnaa ul-Calipha,
Battle of Mogadishu, Black Hawk Down, Rwanda,
Osama bin Laden, Syria, Afghanistan

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23-Dec-18 World View -- Al-Shabaab double bombing kills 16 people in Mogadishu, Somal - by John J. Xenakis - 12-22-2018, 11:49 PM
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