05-01-2019, 04:50 PM
** 01-May-2019 World View: Venezuela Wednesday riots
Analysts can't figure out whether the anti-regime demonstrations in
Venezuela are growing or fizzling.
Today there were more pro-opposition mass protests, but there were no
signs of defections by army generals, which is really the deciding
factor.
Furthermore, American officials are saying that Russians and Cubans
are heavily involved, and they even convinced Nicolás Maduro on
Tuesday not to flee to Cuba.
Venezuela's last generational crisis war ended in 1958, so the country
is only a couple of years into a new Crisis era. Generally, a crisis
civil war requires that the country be at least five or ten years into
a Crisis era, so it seems most likely that the current protests will
fizzle.
The United Nations is accusing the Venezuelan security forces
of using excessive force on protesters.
--- Sources:
-- Venezuela crisis: Protesters gather after Guaidó call
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-48123569
(BBC, 1-May-2019)
-- Comment by UN Human Rights Office spokesperson Marta Hurtado on
Venezuela
https://www.ohchr.org/EN/NewsEvents/Page...4&LangID=E
(United Nations Human Rights office)
Analysts can't figure out whether the anti-regime demonstrations in
Venezuela are growing or fizzling.
Today there were more pro-opposition mass protests, but there were no
signs of defections by army generals, which is really the deciding
factor.
Furthermore, American officials are saying that Russians and Cubans
are heavily involved, and they even convinced Nicolás Maduro on
Tuesday not to flee to Cuba.
Venezuela's last generational crisis war ended in 1958, so the country
is only a couple of years into a new Crisis era. Generally, a crisis
civil war requires that the country be at least five or ten years into
a Crisis era, so it seems most likely that the current protests will
fizzle.
The United Nations is accusing the Venezuelan security forces
of using excessive force on protesters.
--- Sources:
-- Venezuela crisis: Protesters gather after Guaidó call
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-48123569
(BBC, 1-May-2019)
-- Comment by UN Human Rights Office spokesperson Marta Hurtado on
Venezuela
https://www.ohchr.org/EN/NewsEvents/Page...4&LangID=E
(United Nations Human Rights office)