05-16-2019, 04:31 PM
** 16-May-2019 World View: Mideast tensiions grow after attacks attributed to Iran
![[Image: skynews-timelapse-aircraft-carrier_46648...0510184323]](https://e3.365dm.com/19/05/1600x900/skynews-timelapse-aircraft-carrier_4664802.jpg?20190510184323)
During the last week, there have been several acts of "sabotage"
on Saudi Arabia and UAE targets, including the following:
No one has claimed credit for Sunday's attack, but it's believed
that they were perpetrated by Iran's Revolutionary Guards (IRGC)
marine force unit.
The logic behind the attacks is that they follow the restoration of
American sanctions and the end of waivers to the sanctions, with the
result that Iran's oil exports are being severely reduced. Saudi
Arabia has promised to increase oil exports to compensate for the
reduced Iranian exports. The sabotage attacks would then be Iran's
retaliation against the Saudis.
Even before these attacks, the Trump administration had announced the
deployment of two US aircraft carriers -- the USS Abraham Lincoln and
the USS John C. Stennis -- to the region, accompanied by 10 warships,
as a show of force, operating with the US Sixth Fleet in conjunction
with allied navies. There were also uncomfirmed and denied reports of
deployment of 120,000 soldiers to the region.
At the same time, the US, Britain, and some EU countries have
withdrawn unnecessary personal from embassies and legations in Iraq,
apparently out of fear of Iranian terrorist attacks.
In the 1800s, Iran was thoroughly humiliated by losing border wars
with Russia and Britain, so in Iran's major wars in the last century
-- the Constitutional Revolution of 1908-09, the Great Islamic
Revolution of 1979, and the Iran/Iraq war that climaxed in 1989 --
Iran did not attack any other nation, and takes pride in not having
done so.
However, Iran has been increasingly active in using proxies,
especially the Houthis, Hezbollah and Hamas, as well as its own IRGC
forces, to perform terrorist acts against Saudi, America and Israeli
target, as well as full-scale participation in the Syria war,
supporting Bashar al-Assad.
A war between the US and Iran is highly unlikely. News reports of
questionable veracity claim that John Bolton and Mike Pompeo are
encouraging Donald Trump to invade Iran. Whatever Bolton and Pompeo
think, Trump has no intention of invading Iran. Furthermore, through
his knowledge of Generational Dynamics passed on to him by Steve
Bannon, Trump would be aware that will be an American ally.
Furthermore, Iran itself is in a generational Awakening era, with
younger generations firmly opposed to foreign wars.
Nonetheless, Iran's hardline leaderhip has no reluctance to conduct
terror attacks and proxy attacks on its perceived enemies, even if
such attacks are not expected to trigger a war.
Late news is that Saudi Arabia is retaliating for the Houthi
attacks by increased missile attacks on sites in Yemen's capital
city Sanaa, with civilians as collateral damage.
----- Sources:
-- Saudi Energy Minister says two pump stations on the East-West
pipeline were attacked
https://www.spa.gov.sa/viewfullstory.php...30#1923830
(Saudi Press Agency, 14-May-2019)
-- Germany, Netherlands suspend Iraq training missions
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/05/g...23703.html
(Al Jazeera, 15-May-2019)
-- UK raises threat level for personnel in Iraq due to 'heightened
risk from Iran'
https://news.sky.com/story/uk-raises-thr...n-11721363
(Sky News, 16-May-2019)
-- USS Abraham Lincoln deploys opposite Syria, US envoy to Russia
aboard
https://www.debka.com/uss-abraham-lincol...ia-aboard/
(Debka, 11-May-2019)
-- Trump, frustrated by advisers, is not convinced the time is right
to attack Iran
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/nat...story.html
(Washington Post, 15-May-2019)
-- Here's how you'll know we're about to go to war with Iran — right
now, we're not
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opini...w-were-not
(Washington Examiner, 16-May-2019)
-- The Golan is next after Iran hit 3 Gulf oil targets, say Rev Guards
associates
https://www.debka.com/the-golan-is-next-...ssociates/
(Debka, 15-May-2019)
-- Second attack on Gulf oil: Drones drop explosives on two Saudi oil
pumping stations
https://www.debka.com/second-attack-on-g...-stations/
(Debka, 14-May-2019)
-- Iran’s special marine unit sabotaged tankers. Fujairah was outside
US, Saudi, UAE purview
https://www.debka.com/irans-special-mari...e-purview/
(Debka, 13-May-2019)
---- Book:
"World View: Iran's Struggle for Supremacy -- Tehran's Obsession to
Redraw the Map of the Middle East," by John J. Xenakis
https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Suprem...732738610/
- Aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln passes thru Suez Canal
on way to Strait of Hormuz
During the last week, there have been several acts of "sabotage"
on Saudi Arabia and UAE targets, including the following:
- On Sunday, May 12, four Saudi oil tankers were attacked
in UAE's Fujairah port.
- On Tuesday, the Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen launched drones and
bombed two pumping stations, owned by Saudi Aramco, on a major Saudi
East-West oil pipeline.
- There are reports that Iranian speedboats in the Gulf of Hormuz
have been outfitted with cruise missiles.
No one has claimed credit for Sunday's attack, but it's believed
that they were perpetrated by Iran's Revolutionary Guards (IRGC)
marine force unit.
The logic behind the attacks is that they follow the restoration of
American sanctions and the end of waivers to the sanctions, with the
result that Iran's oil exports are being severely reduced. Saudi
Arabia has promised to increase oil exports to compensate for the
reduced Iranian exports. The sabotage attacks would then be Iran's
retaliation against the Saudis.
Even before these attacks, the Trump administration had announced the
deployment of two US aircraft carriers -- the USS Abraham Lincoln and
the USS John C. Stennis -- to the region, accompanied by 10 warships,
as a show of force, operating with the US Sixth Fleet in conjunction
with allied navies. There were also uncomfirmed and denied reports of
deployment of 120,000 soldiers to the region.
At the same time, the US, Britain, and some EU countries have
withdrawn unnecessary personal from embassies and legations in Iraq,
apparently out of fear of Iranian terrorist attacks.
In the 1800s, Iran was thoroughly humiliated by losing border wars
with Russia and Britain, so in Iran's major wars in the last century
-- the Constitutional Revolution of 1908-09, the Great Islamic
Revolution of 1979, and the Iran/Iraq war that climaxed in 1989 --
Iran did not attack any other nation, and takes pride in not having
done so.
However, Iran has been increasingly active in using proxies,
especially the Houthis, Hezbollah and Hamas, as well as its own IRGC
forces, to perform terrorist acts against Saudi, America and Israeli
target, as well as full-scale participation in the Syria war,
supporting Bashar al-Assad.
A war between the US and Iran is highly unlikely. News reports of
questionable veracity claim that John Bolton and Mike Pompeo are
encouraging Donald Trump to invade Iran. Whatever Bolton and Pompeo
think, Trump has no intention of invading Iran. Furthermore, through
his knowledge of Generational Dynamics passed on to him by Steve
Bannon, Trump would be aware that will be an American ally.
Furthermore, Iran itself is in a generational Awakening era, with
younger generations firmly opposed to foreign wars.
Nonetheless, Iran's hardline leaderhip has no reluctance to conduct
terror attacks and proxy attacks on its perceived enemies, even if
such attacks are not expected to trigger a war.
Late news is that Saudi Arabia is retaliating for the Houthi
attacks by increased missile attacks on sites in Yemen's capital
city Sanaa, with civilians as collateral damage.
----- Sources:
-- Saudi Energy Minister says two pump stations on the East-West
pipeline were attacked
https://www.spa.gov.sa/viewfullstory.php...30#1923830
(Saudi Press Agency, 14-May-2019)
-- Germany, Netherlands suspend Iraq training missions
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/05/g...23703.html
(Al Jazeera, 15-May-2019)
-- UK raises threat level for personnel in Iraq due to 'heightened
risk from Iran'
https://news.sky.com/story/uk-raises-thr...n-11721363
(Sky News, 16-May-2019)
-- USS Abraham Lincoln deploys opposite Syria, US envoy to Russia
aboard
https://www.debka.com/uss-abraham-lincol...ia-aboard/
(Debka, 11-May-2019)
-- Trump, frustrated by advisers, is not convinced the time is right
to attack Iran
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/nat...story.html
(Washington Post, 15-May-2019)
-- Here's how you'll know we're about to go to war with Iran — right
now, we're not
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opini...w-were-not
(Washington Examiner, 16-May-2019)
-- The Golan is next after Iran hit 3 Gulf oil targets, say Rev Guards
associates
https://www.debka.com/the-golan-is-next-...ssociates/
(Debka, 15-May-2019)
-- Second attack on Gulf oil: Drones drop explosives on two Saudi oil
pumping stations
https://www.debka.com/second-attack-on-g...-stations/
(Debka, 14-May-2019)
-- Iran’s special marine unit sabotaged tankers. Fujairah was outside
US, Saudi, UAE purview
https://www.debka.com/irans-special-mari...e-purview/
(Debka, 13-May-2019)
---- Book:
"World View: Iran's Struggle for Supremacy -- Tehran's Obsession to
Redraw the Map of the Middle East," by John J. Xenakis
https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Suprem...732738610/
