Generational Dynamics World View

[John J. Xenakis]

** 06-Aug-2019 World View: China-Cambodia and the South China Sea

• China is building a massive deep-water seaport project in
  Cambodia's Koh Kong province along the Gulf of Thailand

Peter E Wrote:> A new Chinese naval base in Cambodia has also crossed a red line
> in the Asia Pacific region. US medium range missiles will be going
> into South-east Asia and maybe Australia.

> The obvious targets (to begin with) are Hong Kong and Taiwan. It
> will be easy for the PLA to send in the tanks into Causeway,
> Central and Kowloon but will spell the end of HK as the gateway
> for western capital into China.

> Taiwan will be a trickier proposition but the PLA's strategy is
> plain to see - block off the South China Sea completely to
> everyone else and block off entry points to the northern
> Pacific. The pieces in the picture are falling into place. The
> South China Sea is populated with and ringed by opposing naval and
> missile bases and leading to an inevitable confrontation. The
> question is not if but when.

> The only way to stop Chinese militarisation and aggression is for
> the US and the West and their allies to cease doing any business,
> trade, investment etc with fascist China. Today, Uighur
> concentration camps and territorial invasions in Asia - tomorrow,
> in the rest of the world. Boycott 'Made In China'. Stop appeasing
> fascist China.

I've come to the view in the last year that the "China dream"
of world hegemony is complete fantasy, and is not something
that even the Chinese military wants, since China is unable
to govern itself, let alone govern the world.

The conclusion that I reached is that China is pursuing a war of
revenge against Japan and a war of annexation against Taiwan. That's
why the book that I wrote ended up with the title "Was Between China
and Japan."

So my view is increasingly that China wasting a lot of money
and resources with the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and
things like a naval base in Djibouti, since these will not
support their primary objectives of Japan and Taiwan.

At any rate, if China is building a naval base in Cambodia, then as
you say it will probably be used to prevent defense of Hong Kong,
Taiwan and Japan through the South China Sea.

---- Sources:

-- Cambodia is the US-China rivalry’s latest front, as talk of base
access alarms Washington
https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/art...ess-alarms
(South China Morning Post, Hong Kong, 5-Aug-2019)

-- China's Cambodian invasion
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/opinion/201...Un2yXspB_B
(Japan Times, 5-Aug-2019)

-- Why a New China Naval Outpost in Cambodia Would Matter
https://thediplomat.com/2019/07/why-a-ne...ld-matter/
(Diplomat, 23-Jul-2019)

-- Chinese construction boom in Cambodian town raises fears of secret
military pact
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-07-26/c...s/11345410
(Australia Broadcasting, 26-Jul-2019)


---- Related:


** 16-Dec-18 World View -- Cambodia denies major China-funded seaport project is a military base
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e181216



** 17-Jan-19 World View -- Cambodia's Hun Sen threatens to kill opposition politicians if EU ends preferences
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e190117