09-18-2019, 09:24 PM
** 18-Sep-2019 US retaliation
"Many in the west/US have been looking for ways to end this" --
generally speaking, only on the left.
"Which is why I think there's a fourth possibility - the US may do
nothing."
If the US did nothing, then Saudi Arabia would take action on its own,
and this would lead to another Mideast war. Trump will definitely NOT
do nothing. None of the parties wants a war, which is why they're all
looking to the US to take retaliation, so the Saudis won't have to.
(09-18-2019, 11:24 AM)tg63 Wrote: > Many in the west/US have been looking for ways to end this
> relationship, but the dependency on Saudi oil has been simply too
> strong. At some point tho, a decision will be made that the cost
> is too great & that the US simply won't be the guarantor of Saudi
> safety, and let the chips fall where they may.
> When that decision is made there won't be an announcement to the
> world. Rather it will be an internal decision ... which the world
> will only realize once it's clear that there won't be reprisals
> for attacks on Saudi Arabia. Would the Trump administration
> consider such a change? If I were Iran I might be interested in
> testing that.
> Which is why I think there's a fourth possibility - the US may do
> nothing. That of course would signal to Iran (and others) the
> change in US policy ... and it's not too hard to see how that
> scenario would play out.
"Many in the west/US have been looking for ways to end this" --
generally speaking, only on the left.
"Which is why I think there's a fourth possibility - the US may do
nothing."
If the US did nothing, then Saudi Arabia would take action on its own,
and this would lead to another Mideast war. Trump will definitely NOT
do nothing. None of the parties wants a war, which is why they're all
looking to the US to take retaliation, so the Saudis won't have to.