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Generational Dynamics World View
(09-28-2019, 01:58 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: ** 28-Sep-2019 World View: Climate change timeline

OK, here's the final climate change timeline:

  1. Today: Climate change currently caused by human activities

  2. 2020s: World War III.  Climate change will be reduced sharply for these reasons: (*) Reduction in population or growth of population;

    (*) Widespread destruction of industry  (*) Re-growth of forests and other oxygen-producing land

  3. One question: Tens of thousands of nuclear weapons will be deployed.  Will nuclear emissions improve or worsen climate change?  I haven't seen research on this subject, because it's a forbidden topic among climate "scientists."

  4. 2030s: The Singularity will occur around 2030, and with the world flat on its back, AI robots will be used to take on the difficult tasks that humans can't easily handle.

  5. Some obvious tasks for the AI robots will be cleaning up nuclear waste and buried land mines.

  6. At the same time, new developments in computer technology, biotechnology and nanotechnology will enable AI robots to perform a myriad of additional tasks not previously conceivable.  Several such tasks will undoubtedly be related to removing carbon from the atmosphere.

  7. 2040s: As AI robots become increasingly skilled and intelligent, they'll begin to form and manage small businesses, or even become mayors of small towns.

  8. 2050s: With AI robots getting much smarter than humans, they'll increasingly be in charge of governments and business.  During the Awakening era, young people will be demonstrating against computer overlords and clashing with them.  Any war that begins in this time frame will be fought by AI robots and under the command of AI robots.

  9. 2060s: Computer overlords will take charge completely.  Dissidents will be punished, tortured or killed, just like in China today.

  10. 2100: The earth will be one degree warmer, but no one will care.

Taking your 10 points in order:
  1. Agreed.

  2. The chance of a total war, and that's what you postulate, is slim to none.  Even the insane understand mass suicide.

  3. Not.going.to.happen.

  4. Again, this is wildly optimistic (or pessimistic, depending on your bent).  We ae no where near this possibility today, so 11 years is an unobtainable goal.

  5. You fundamentally misconstrue the Singularity with AI.  The two are completely different.  The Singularity implies sentience, which is far beyond AI.  Yes, AI will be handling many  tasks that used to be assigned to humans in the 2030s, but decision making isn't one of them.

  6. We know how to remove carbon from the atmosphere already: grow trees.  We also have some early attempts at mechanical means that may prove valuable as well, but trees are still the answer.

  7. Again, machine intelligence in the 2040s will be limited.  But yes, machines will be ever more capable with time.

  8. 2050 is still too early form truly advance synthetic intelligence.  What makes humans better at this: we can employ all parts of human intelligence, including emotion and intuition, to solving problems, and do so as needed.  Machines will be a long time acquiring that level of sophistication.

  9. At some point, we are more likely to merge with machines than contend wit them.  In fact, transhumanism is the most likely early stage of machine evolution.

  10. Apparently, you believe that rising seas, diminished forests and degraded food production, among the myriad impacts of AGW, are OK.  I don't think so.
Intelligence is not knowledge and knowledge is not wisdom, but they all play well together.
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Messages In This Thread
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-14-2016, 03:21 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-23-2016, 10:31 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 08-11-2016, 08:59 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 01-18-2017, 09:23 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 02-04-2017, 10:08 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 03-13-2017, 03:33 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 03-15-2017, 02:56 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 03-15-2017, 03:13 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 05-30-2017, 01:04 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 07-08-2017, 01:34 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 08-09-2017, 11:07 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 08-10-2017, 02:38 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 10-25-2017, 03:07 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by rds - 10-31-2017, 03:35 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by rds - 10-31-2017, 06:33 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by noway2 - 11-20-2017, 04:31 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 12-28-2017, 11:00 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 12-31-2017, 11:14 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 06-22-2018, 02:54 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:42 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:54 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-19-2018, 12:43 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-25-2018, 02:18 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:58 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-18-2018, 03:42 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-19-2018, 04:39 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 09-25-2019, 11:12 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by David Horn - 09-30-2019, 09:27 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 03-09-2020, 02:11 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Camz - 03-10-2020, 10:10 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 03-12-2020, 11:11 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 03-16-2020, 03:21 PM
RE: 58 year rule - by Tim Randal Walker - 04-01-2020, 11:17 AM
RE: 58 year rule - by John J. Xenakis - 04-02-2020, 12:25 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Isoko - 05-04-2020, 02:51 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 01-04-2021, 12:13 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by CH86 - 01-05-2021, 11:17 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-10-2021, 06:16 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-11-2021, 09:06 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-12-2021, 02:53 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-13-2021, 03:58 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-13-2021, 04:16 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-15-2021, 03:36 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 08-19-2021, 03:03 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 08-21-2021, 01:41 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-27-2022, 06:06 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-27-2022, 10:42 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-28-2022, 12:26 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-28-2022, 04:08 PM

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