07-10-2016, 10:05 PM
*** 11-Jul-16 World View -- Fears that renewed South Sudan tribal fighting could spiral into larger war
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Fears that renewed South Sudan tribal fighting could spiral into larger war
****
![[Image: g160710b.jpg]](http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g160710b.jpg)
South Sudan army forces stand at attention, April 14, 2016 (AFP)
Fresh clashes have broken out between rival forces from the Dinka and
Nuer tribes in South Sudan in the last few days, killing hundreds of
civilians, and forcing thousands from their homes. Although low-level
violence has been a constant since South Sudan became independent in
2011, there were major clashes that began in December 2013. ( "29-Dec-2013 World View -- Conflicts grow in South Sudan and Central African Republic"
) There
followed 21 months of atrocities, until they were supposedly ended by
a peace treaty that was signed by both sides in August 2015.
New reports indicate that several Nuer armies are now heading towards
the capital city Juba, and there are fears of a wider war. The United
Nations said it was "outraged" at what was happening:
[indent]<QUOTE>"The United Nations Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) is
outraged at the resumption of violence in Juba today [...], which
is severely impacting on the civilian population."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
According to UNMISS, there is heavy fighting in downtown Juba. Other
reports indicate the use of artillery, warplanes, and helicopter
gunships. The UN Security Council on Saturday passed a resolution
strongly condemning the fighting in Juba.
After the 2011 war that gave South Sudan independence from Sudan, a
Transitional Government of National Unity was formed. The president
is President Salva Kiir, from the Dinka tribe, and the vice president
is Riek Machar, from the Nuer tribe. Both tribes had been united in
facing a common enemy in their fight for independence from Sudan, but
they turned on each other and started an ethnic conflict after the
war.
The clashes in December 2013 were triggered when Dinka president Salva
Kiir fired his cabinet and accused the Nuer vice-president Riek Machar
of planning a coup. Machar fled the country, and the fighting
displaced more than 2.2 million people before the August 2015 peace
agreement was signed.
In April 2016, Machar returned to South Sudan to rejoin the Unity
Government as vice president. However, Machar's spokesman is now
saying the South Sudan is "back to war." Radio Tamazuj (South Sudan) and BBC and
Al Jazeera
****
**** Generational history of South Sudan and Dinka-Nuer clashes
****
When Sudan became independent in 1956, the north was largely Muslim,
Arabic speaking, while the southern population mostly followed tribal
religions. The Khartoum government in the north launched a program to
"Arabize and Islamize the South." This triggered a reaction from
Christian evangelists, mostly from the US, to come to Sudan and
convert the South to Christianity.
There was immediately a north-south war of independence, but there was
also a generational crisis civil war between the Nuer and Dinka
tribes. This was climaxed on November 15, 1991, when the "Bor
Massacre" began. Over the next three months, 2,000 civilians were
killed, thousands more wounded, at least 100,000 people fled the area.
Famine followed the massacre, as looters burnt villages and raided
cattle, resulting in the deaths of 25,000 more from starvation.
The nightmare scenario is that the new clashes will spiral into a
repeat of the 1991 Bor Massacre. But from the point of view of
Generational Dynamics, South Sudan is in a generational Awakening era,
so a historic massacre of this type will not occur.
However, there certainly is a great deal of ethnic hatred between the
Nuers and the Dinkas. Evidently, the level of ethnic hatred exceeds
that of the Hutus and the Tutsis in Rwanda, following their 1994
genocidal ethnic bloodbath. Nonetheless, in this generational
Awakening era, we can expect to see repeated clashes between Nuers and
Dinkas, separated by peace agreements that fall apart in a few weeks
or months. But a full-scale ethnic civil war is not expected at this
time. Radio Tamazuj (South Sudan 23-Dec-2013) and Sudan Tribune (31-Aug-2007) and BBC (28-Sep-2015)
and ECC Platform (2014)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Sudan, South Sudan, Juba, Dinka tribe, Nuer tribe,
United Nations Mission in South Sudan, UNMISS,
Transitional Government of National Unity, Salva Kiir, Riek Machar,
Bor Massacre
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Fears that renewed South Sudan tribal fighting could spiral into larger war
- Generational history of South Sudan and Dinka-Nuer clashes
****
**** Fears that renewed South Sudan tribal fighting could spiral into larger war
****
South Sudan army forces stand at attention, April 14, 2016 (AFP)
Fresh clashes have broken out between rival forces from the Dinka and
Nuer tribes in South Sudan in the last few days, killing hundreds of
civilians, and forcing thousands from their homes. Although low-level
violence has been a constant since South Sudan became independent in
2011, there were major clashes that began in December 2013. ( "29-Dec-2013 World View -- Conflicts grow in South Sudan and Central African Republic"
) There
followed 21 months of atrocities, until they were supposedly ended by
a peace treaty that was signed by both sides in August 2015.
New reports indicate that several Nuer armies are now heading towards
the capital city Juba, and there are fears of a wider war. The United
Nations said it was "outraged" at what was happening:
[indent]<QUOTE>"The United Nations Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) is
outraged at the resumption of violence in Juba today [...], which
is severely impacting on the civilian population."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
According to UNMISS, there is heavy fighting in downtown Juba. Other
reports indicate the use of artillery, warplanes, and helicopter
gunships. The UN Security Council on Saturday passed a resolution
strongly condemning the fighting in Juba.
After the 2011 war that gave South Sudan independence from Sudan, a
Transitional Government of National Unity was formed. The president
is President Salva Kiir, from the Dinka tribe, and the vice president
is Riek Machar, from the Nuer tribe. Both tribes had been united in
facing a common enemy in their fight for independence from Sudan, but
they turned on each other and started an ethnic conflict after the
war.
The clashes in December 2013 were triggered when Dinka president Salva
Kiir fired his cabinet and accused the Nuer vice-president Riek Machar
of planning a coup. Machar fled the country, and the fighting
displaced more than 2.2 million people before the August 2015 peace
agreement was signed.
In April 2016, Machar returned to South Sudan to rejoin the Unity
Government as vice president. However, Machar's spokesman is now
saying the South Sudan is "back to war." Radio Tamazuj (South Sudan) and BBC and
Al Jazeera
****
**** Generational history of South Sudan and Dinka-Nuer clashes
****
When Sudan became independent in 1956, the north was largely Muslim,
Arabic speaking, while the southern population mostly followed tribal
religions. The Khartoum government in the north launched a program to
"Arabize and Islamize the South." This triggered a reaction from
Christian evangelists, mostly from the US, to come to Sudan and
convert the South to Christianity.
There was immediately a north-south war of independence, but there was
also a generational crisis civil war between the Nuer and Dinka
tribes. This was climaxed on November 15, 1991, when the "Bor
Massacre" began. Over the next three months, 2,000 civilians were
killed, thousands more wounded, at least 100,000 people fled the area.
Famine followed the massacre, as looters burnt villages and raided
cattle, resulting in the deaths of 25,000 more from starvation.
The nightmare scenario is that the new clashes will spiral into a
repeat of the 1991 Bor Massacre. But from the point of view of
Generational Dynamics, South Sudan is in a generational Awakening era,
so a historic massacre of this type will not occur.
However, there certainly is a great deal of ethnic hatred between the
Nuers and the Dinkas. Evidently, the level of ethnic hatred exceeds
that of the Hutus and the Tutsis in Rwanda, following their 1994
genocidal ethnic bloodbath. Nonetheless, in this generational
Awakening era, we can expect to see repeated clashes between Nuers and
Dinkas, separated by peace agreements that fall apart in a few weeks
or months. But a full-scale ethnic civil war is not expected at this
time. Radio Tamazuj (South Sudan 23-Dec-2013) and Sudan Tribune (31-Aug-2007) and BBC (28-Sep-2015)
and ECC Platform (2014)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Sudan, South Sudan, Juba, Dinka tribe, Nuer tribe,
United Nations Mission in South Sudan, UNMISS,
Transitional Government of National Unity, Salva Kiir, Riek Machar,
Bor Massacre
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
