08-17-2016, 09:59 PM
*** 18-Aug-16 World View -- Number of migrants reaching Greece surges since Turkey's attempted coup
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Number of migrants reaching Greece surges since Turkey's attempted coup
****
![[Image: g160817b.jpg]](http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g160817b.jpg)
A dinghy full of migrants in the Aegean Sea is towed by Turkey's Coast Guard (Reuters)
After the EU-Turkey migrant deal was agreed in March, the number of
migrants traveling from Turkey to Greece fell almost to zero.
However, the number of migrants has surged since the July 15,
when there was an attempted government coup in Turkey. It's
now running close to 100 per day, which is still far smaller
than the average of 2500 per day last year in August.
Since the start of 2016, more than 160,000 migrants have
illegally traveled from Turkey to Greece. The figure was
more than one million in all of 2015.
So the number is still sharply lower than it was prior to
the EU-Turkey deal, the refugee situation is far from resolved.
A total of over 275,000 migrants have reached Europe this year,
including 101,000 arriving in Italy from North Africa.
Supposedly the "Balkan route" that migrants used to travel from Greece
to Germany was closed in March, but officials from Serbia are
reporting that an average of 300 new arrivals are entering the country
illegally every day. This number exceeds the 100 migrants per day
arriving in Greece from Turkey, so the other 200 must be coming from
refugee camps. BBC and B92 (Belgrade)
****
**** Concern grows over unsafe conditions in refugee camps in Greece
****
Although the number of migrants arriving in Greece from Turkey is far
smaller than the number last year, but for the 100 or so per day who
do make the trip, conditions are severely worsening, as are conditions
for the tens of thousands who are still living in Greek refugee camps.
Like last year, the migrants who arrive in Greece first arrive
in one of the Greek islands in the Aegean Sea --
Lesvos, Chios and Samos. But last year, Greece ran a ferry
to carry the migrants from the islands to Athens, from where
the migrants continued their journey north. This year,
there's no ferry and the Balkan Route is close, so there's no
way to travel north.
The result is that migrants are trapped in overcrowded refugee camps
on the islands, and are unable to leave. According to Save the
Children, the situation is almost "back to square one," from before
the EU-Turkey migrant deal:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"As the number of arrivals creeps up again, we're
> starting to see scenes reminiscent of last summer. Except this
> time, most asylum seekers are unable to continue their journeys,
> and are trapped on the islands, in overcrowded facilities, and
> under the blazing sun.
>
> Mothers with small babies are being forced to sleep on the ground
> in make-shift tents, children and breastfeeding women are
> suffering from dehydration due to water shortages in some camps,
> and tensions are increasing as basic services, such as toilets and
> showers, are stretched.
>
> Families who have fled violence and death in their homeland
> continue to live in fear and do not feel safe. They have told Save
> the Children staff that they are too scared to let their children
> out of their sight due to the frequent protests and a lack of
> security in the camps."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
There are similar problems with migrants trapped in the refugee
camp called "The Jungle" in Calais France. There are some
5,000 refugees trapped there, including hundreds of children.
The public has largely lost interest in the migrant problem since the
EU-Turkey deal, and there's little public concern for what's going on
in the refugee camps in Greece, France, and elsewhere. But public
opinion is fickle, and any day there could be something that calls
attention to the problem. Daily Mail (London) and CNet
****
**** Fears grow that the EU-Turkey migrant deal will collapse
****
In an interview earlier this week, Turkey's Foreign Minister Mevlut
Cavusoglu repeated his demand that EU abide by its commitments in the
EU-Turkey migrant deal, specifically visa liberalization -- allowing
any of Turkey's 74 million citizens to be able to travel freely
throughout Europe's Schengen zone without a visa. ( "16-Aug-16 World View -- Turkey threatens EU migrant deal, saying EU is humiliating Turkey, not helping"
) According to Cavusoglu:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"I don’t want to talk about the worst-case scenario
> but it is clear: either we apply all the agreements together, or
> we set them all aside. It can't be that we implement everything
> that is good for the EU but that Turkey gets nothing in
> return."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
Cavusoglu set October as a deadline. A previous deadline of
June has already been ignored, and few people believe that the
EU will approve visa liberalization by then.
The number of migrants crossing from Turkey to Greece has already
begun to surge since the July 15 attempted coup in Turkey. What this
illustrates is that Turkey can apply pressure on a gradual basis.
Turkey could allow the number of migrants daily to increase from 100
to 150 to 200 and so forth, continuing to demand that the EU meeting
its commitments.
Greece's government is also taking steps to prepare for a new wave of
migrants by lobbying the EU government to modify the 1990 "Dublin
Agreement," which specifies that a migrant can request asylum only in
the first EU country in which the migrant arrives. Since that country
is Greece most of the time, Greece is bearing most of the burden of
the refugee crisis. Greece would like to modify the agreement to put
into effect a plan to distribute migrants to all of the EU nations.
However, some eastern European countries have indicated that they will
refuge to receive any migrants at all, and diplomatic sources have
indicated that any change to the Dublin Agreement is unlikely during
Slovakia’s presidency of the EU, which finishes at the end of the
year.
According to some reports, Germany is planning to send some 3,000
migrants to Greece in the coming weeks, following the rules of the
Dublin Agreement. Kathimerini and Greek Reporter
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Turkey, Greece, Balkan route,
Lesvos, Chios, Samos, Save the Children, France, Calais, The Jungle,
Mevlut Cavusoglu, Dublin Agreement
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Number of migrants reaching Greece surges since Turkey's attempted coup
- Concern grows over unsafe conditions in refugee camps in Greece
- Fears grow that the EU-Turkey migrant deal will collapse
****
**** Number of migrants reaching Greece surges since Turkey's attempted coup
****
A dinghy full of migrants in the Aegean Sea is towed by Turkey's Coast Guard (Reuters)
After the EU-Turkey migrant deal was agreed in March, the number of
migrants traveling from Turkey to Greece fell almost to zero.
However, the number of migrants has surged since the July 15,
when there was an attempted government coup in Turkey. It's
now running close to 100 per day, which is still far smaller
than the average of 2500 per day last year in August.
Since the start of 2016, more than 160,000 migrants have
illegally traveled from Turkey to Greece. The figure was
more than one million in all of 2015.
So the number is still sharply lower than it was prior to
the EU-Turkey deal, the refugee situation is far from resolved.
A total of over 275,000 migrants have reached Europe this year,
including 101,000 arriving in Italy from North Africa.
Supposedly the "Balkan route" that migrants used to travel from Greece
to Germany was closed in March, but officials from Serbia are
reporting that an average of 300 new arrivals are entering the country
illegally every day. This number exceeds the 100 migrants per day
arriving in Greece from Turkey, so the other 200 must be coming from
refugee camps. BBC and B92 (Belgrade)
****
**** Concern grows over unsafe conditions in refugee camps in Greece
****
Although the number of migrants arriving in Greece from Turkey is far
smaller than the number last year, but for the 100 or so per day who
do make the trip, conditions are severely worsening, as are conditions
for the tens of thousands who are still living in Greek refugee camps.
Like last year, the migrants who arrive in Greece first arrive
in one of the Greek islands in the Aegean Sea --
Lesvos, Chios and Samos. But last year, Greece ran a ferry
to carry the migrants from the islands to Athens, from where
the migrants continued their journey north. This year,
there's no ferry and the Balkan Route is close, so there's no
way to travel north.
The result is that migrants are trapped in overcrowded refugee camps
on the islands, and are unable to leave. According to Save the
Children, the situation is almost "back to square one," from before
the EU-Turkey migrant deal:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"As the number of arrivals creeps up again, we're
> starting to see scenes reminiscent of last summer. Except this
> time, most asylum seekers are unable to continue their journeys,
> and are trapped on the islands, in overcrowded facilities, and
> under the blazing sun.
>
> Mothers with small babies are being forced to sleep on the ground
> in make-shift tents, children and breastfeeding women are
> suffering from dehydration due to water shortages in some camps,
> and tensions are increasing as basic services, such as toilets and
> showers, are stretched.
>
> Families who have fled violence and death in their homeland
> continue to live in fear and do not feel safe. They have told Save
> the Children staff that they are too scared to let their children
> out of their sight due to the frequent protests and a lack of
> security in the camps."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
There are similar problems with migrants trapped in the refugee
camp called "The Jungle" in Calais France. There are some
5,000 refugees trapped there, including hundreds of children.
The public has largely lost interest in the migrant problem since the
EU-Turkey deal, and there's little public concern for what's going on
in the refugee camps in Greece, France, and elsewhere. But public
opinion is fickle, and any day there could be something that calls
attention to the problem. Daily Mail (London) and CNet
****
**** Fears grow that the EU-Turkey migrant deal will collapse
****
In an interview earlier this week, Turkey's Foreign Minister Mevlut
Cavusoglu repeated his demand that EU abide by its commitments in the
EU-Turkey migrant deal, specifically visa liberalization -- allowing
any of Turkey's 74 million citizens to be able to travel freely
throughout Europe's Schengen zone without a visa. ( "16-Aug-16 World View -- Turkey threatens EU migrant deal, saying EU is humiliating Turkey, not helping"
) According to Cavusoglu:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"I don’t want to talk about the worst-case scenario
> but it is clear: either we apply all the agreements together, or
> we set them all aside. It can't be that we implement everything
> that is good for the EU but that Turkey gets nothing in
> return."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
Cavusoglu set October as a deadline. A previous deadline of
June has already been ignored, and few people believe that the
EU will approve visa liberalization by then.
The number of migrants crossing from Turkey to Greece has already
begun to surge since the July 15 attempted coup in Turkey. What this
illustrates is that Turkey can apply pressure on a gradual basis.
Turkey could allow the number of migrants daily to increase from 100
to 150 to 200 and so forth, continuing to demand that the EU meeting
its commitments.
Greece's government is also taking steps to prepare for a new wave of
migrants by lobbying the EU government to modify the 1990 "Dublin
Agreement," which specifies that a migrant can request asylum only in
the first EU country in which the migrant arrives. Since that country
is Greece most of the time, Greece is bearing most of the burden of
the refugee crisis. Greece would like to modify the agreement to put
into effect a plan to distribute migrants to all of the EU nations.
However, some eastern European countries have indicated that they will
refuge to receive any migrants at all, and diplomatic sources have
indicated that any change to the Dublin Agreement is unlikely during
Slovakia’s presidency of the EU, which finishes at the end of the
year.
According to some reports, Germany is planning to send some 3,000
migrants to Greece in the coming weeks, following the rules of the
Dublin Agreement. Kathimerini and Greek Reporter
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Turkey, Greece, Balkan route,
Lesvos, Chios, Samos, Save the Children, France, Calais, The Jungle,
Mevlut Cavusoglu, Dublin Agreement
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
