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Generational Dynamics World View
#12
*** 19-May-16 World View -- Chinese official slams Hong Kong independence during 'inspection visit'

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Chinese official slams Hong Kong independence during 'inspection visit'
  • Hong Kong's history and culture make it very different from China

****
**** Chinese official slams Hong Kong independence during 'inspection visit'
****


[Image: g160518b.jpg]
Pro-democracy protests greet Zhang Dejiang in Hong Kong on Wednesday (CNN)

China's state leader Zhang Dejiang, making a three-day "inspection
visit" to Hong Kong, criticized Hong Kong who protest against Beijing
policies. Nominally, the purpose of the speech was to describe Hong
Kong's role in Beijing’s "One Belt, One Road" trade initiative. But
there was also an iron hand. Zhang, a member of China’s all-powerful
Politburo Standing Committee, made clear in his speech that calls for
independence of Hong Kong from China would not be tolerated.

Hong Kong residents were promised fully free and fair elections when
Britain returned the British colony over to China in 1997. China has
consistently stalled on the promise, triggering the large protests in
mid-2014 that shut down the business district for weeks. These
protests were mostly peaceful, but there were some clashes with
police. The protests were called the "Umbrella Revolution," after
protesters brought umbrellas to protect themselves from police
teargas.

The particular trigger for the 2014 protests was a demand by China
that the "free" elections in Hong Kong in 2017 would be tightly
controlled by Beijing. The elections would be "free," but the only
candidates who will be permitted to be run have to be approved a
"nominating committee" completely controlled by Beijing. China's
hand-picked Hong Kong leader, Leung Chun-ying, announced that there
was no chance whatsoever that Beijing would yield on this. ( "22-Oct-14 World View -- Hong Kong leader suggests that the poor shouldn't be allowed to vote"
)

Now, almost two years later, China's state leader Zhang Dejiang is
making an "inspection visit" to make sure that everyone understands
that Beijing has not softened its position:

[indent]<QUOTE>"'One country, two systems' has ... won wide
recognition in the international community. This did not come
easily, and deserves pride and protection.

It should be respected that Hong Kong compatriots treasure their
lifestyle and values – in fact, the substance of the One Country,
Two Systems principle was to preserve Hong Kong’s original
socioeconomic system and lifestyle.

Now an extreme small minority have rejected the country, rejected
the Central Government, and even put forward for Hong Kong
independence – this is not an issue of localism, but an issue of
using the name of localism to separate the country. Is that
violating the original intention of One Country, Two Systems? Is
this good or bad for Hong Kong? I believe Hong Kong people have
their answers in mind."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

Zhang added that he would like to listen opinions and suggestions from
people from all walks of life. Hong Kong Free Press and South China Morning Post and Xinhua

****
**** Hong Kong's history and culture make it very different from China
****


The heart of Hong Kong resembled an armed camp yesterday as thousands
of police officers were deployed around the convention center where
Zhang was speaking. At the convention center, barricades filled with
water were set up to keep protesters at least 100 feet away.
Construction sites were halted, trash bins were removed and paving
stones were glued together, to keep them from being tossed at police
during a riot in February of this year.

Culturally, Hong Kong is closer to the West than it is to China. Hong
Kong was governed by Britain from 1857 until it was handed over to
China in 1977. Throughout this 120 year period, Hong Kong served as a
refuge, an escape from mainland China.

Hong Kong served as a refuge for exiles from China following the
establishment of the Chinese Republic in 1912. After Japan seized
Manchuria in 1932 and the Sino-Japanese war broke out in 1938, China
turned to Britain, with Hong Kong as an intermediary, for help and
supplies. As Japan advanced into China in World War II, hundreds of
thousands of Chinese took refuge in Hong Kong.

China had a massive, bloody civil war starting in 1934, which was
interrupted by World War II and resumed afterwards. Mao Zedong's
Communist Revolution didn't end until 1949, but then the defeated
"Nationalist" forces under Chiang Kai-shek fled to Hong Kong, and from
there to Formosa, which became part of Taiwan.

So Hong Kong and Taiwan have cultural and historical links with each
other. Anti-Beijing protests and riots in one are likely to spur
anti-Beijing protests and riots in the other.

A sign of the cultural contrasts is the differences in language. On
mainland China, the official language is Mandarin Chinese. The
language of the people of Hong Kong is Cantonese, which is the
language of the indigenous Cantonese people in Hong Kong and eastern
parts of the mainland. The languages of Taiwan, including Min Nan and
Hakka, are also indigenous languages.

From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, China is headed not
only for internal wars with Hong Kong and Taiwan, but also external
wars with the United States and other countries.

As I've been writing since 2005 ("China approaches Civil War"), China is headed for a new
civil war, refighting many of the previous local rebellions, including
the huge White Lotus rebellion in the 1790s and 1800s decade, the
Taiping Rebellion in the 1850s and 60s that killed 15% of the
population, and Mao's Long March that launched the civil war between
Mao and Chiang Kai-shek in the 1930s and 40s killed tens of millions.

At the same time, China is headed for war with its ancient external
enemies, Vietnam, the Philippines and Japan, as well as the United
States. These two wars -- the civil wars and the external wars --
will occur simultaneously, as happened in World War II. In fact, the
Chinese Communist Party, which is the most paranoid organization in
the world, will blame any internal unrest on outside agitators, and
may use that as an excuse to launch an external war, in the hope of
unifying the country, and attempting to insure its own survival at all
costs. Quartz and Today Online (Singapore) and Bloomberg and AP


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Hong Kong, China, Zhang Dejiang,
Leung Chun-ying, Formosa, Taiwan, Mao Zedong, Chiang Kai-shek,
Mandarin, Cantonese, Min Nan, Hakka

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John J. Xenakis
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Messages In This Thread
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-14-2016, 03:21 PM
19-May-16 World View -- Chinese official slams Hong Kong independence - by John J. Xenakis - 05-18-2016, 10:00 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-23-2016, 10:31 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 08-11-2016, 08:59 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 01-18-2017, 09:23 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 02-04-2017, 10:08 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 03-13-2017, 03:33 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 03-15-2017, 02:56 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 03-15-2017, 03:13 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 05-30-2017, 01:04 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 07-08-2017, 01:34 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 08-09-2017, 11:07 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 08-10-2017, 02:38 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 10-25-2017, 03:07 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by rds - 10-31-2017, 03:35 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by rds - 10-31-2017, 06:33 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by noway2 - 11-20-2017, 04:31 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 12-28-2017, 11:00 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 12-31-2017, 11:14 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 06-22-2018, 02:54 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:42 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:54 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-19-2018, 12:43 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-25-2018, 02:18 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:58 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-18-2018, 03:42 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-19-2018, 04:39 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 09-25-2019, 11:12 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 03-09-2020, 02:11 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Camz - 03-10-2020, 10:10 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 03-12-2020, 11:11 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 03-16-2020, 03:21 PM
RE: 58 year rule - by Tim Randal Walker - 04-01-2020, 11:17 AM
RE: 58 year rule - by John J. Xenakis - 04-02-2020, 12:25 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Isoko - 05-04-2020, 02:51 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 01-04-2021, 12:13 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by CH86 - 01-05-2021, 11:17 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-10-2021, 06:16 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-11-2021, 09:06 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-12-2021, 02:53 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-13-2021, 03:58 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-13-2021, 04:16 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-15-2021, 03:36 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 08-19-2021, 03:03 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 08-21-2021, 01:41 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-27-2022, 06:06 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-27-2022, 10:42 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-28-2022, 12:26 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-28-2022, 04:08 PM

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