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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 4-Oct-16 World View -- US cuts off talks with Russia, signaling turning point in Syria

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • United States ends diplomatic talks with Russia over Syria
  • Russia accuses US of sabotaging ceasefire and 'allying with terror'

****
**** United States ends diplomatic talks with Russia over Syria
****


[Image: g161003b.jpg]
Sergei Lavrov and John Kerry on Sept 22 (EPA)

Monday's announcement by the U.S. State Department that it would end
diplomatic talks with Russia over Syria is a watershed in the war in
Syria because it ends a period of self-delusion by the Obama
administration, while it signals the continuation of even worse
self-delusion in Damascus Syria and Moscow Russia.

The State Dept. issued the following statement:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"The United States is suspending its participation in
> bilateral channels with Russia that were established to sustain
> the Cessation of Hostilities. This is not a decision that was
> taken lightly. The United States spared no effort in negotiating
> and attempting to implement an arrangement with Russia aimed at
> reducing violence, providing unhindered humanitarian access, and
> degrading terrorist organizations operating in Syria, including
> Daesh and al Qaeda in Syria.
>
> Unfortunately, Russia failed to live up to its own commitments -
> including its obligations under international humanitarian law and
> UNSCR 2254 - and was also either unwilling or unable to ensure
> Syrian regime adherence to the arrangements to which Moscow
> agreed. Rather, Russia and the Syrian regime have chosen to pursue
> a military course, inconsistent with the Cessation of Hostilities,
> as demonstrated by their intensified attacks against civilian
> areas, targeting of critical infrastructure such as hospitals, and
> preventing humanitarian aid from reaching civilians in need,
> including through the September 19 attack on a humanitarian aid
> convoy."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

The self-delusion in the Obama administration that is apparently now
ending is the belief that by making one concession after another
to the Russians, then the Russians would be reasonable.

After years promising to help end the violence in Syria, Russian and
Syrian warplanes have been indiscriminately attacking civilian
neighborhoods and hospitals with barrel bombs, chemical weapons
(chlorine gas), phosphorous bombs, cluster bombs and bunker bombs, it's
not rocket science to see that Russia and Syria have no
intention of ending the violence.

The last straw for the Americans was the recent intentional attack by
Syrian or Russian warplanes of a humanitarian aid convoy traveling to
Aleppo, during a so-called "ceasefire." It was perfectly obvious
that the Bashar al-Assad regime was never going to allow that
humanitarian aid reach the victims of his bombings.

And yet, US Secretary of State John Kerry and Russia's Defense
Minister Sergei Lavrov played the game where Kerry would concede
something, Lavrov would promise to be better, and then Russia would do
the opposite of its commitments. Russia has consistently made fools
of the Obama administration, so I have to conclude that even President
Obama has some tolerance limits. Whatever policy in Syria President
Obama can claim to have had is now widely believed to be a failure,
especially after last week's leaked audio tape,
in which John Kerry implicitly blamed President
Obama for the failed policy in Syria.

So now it's a new day in Syria. The scales have been lifted from the
eyes of US Administration officials. Analysts are going to say that
this announcement gives total freedom to the Russians to continue
their extermination of Syrian Sunnis. That's true, but they're been
exercising total freedom all along. This announcement just makes it
more apparent, and perhaps more dangerous. US State Dept
and BBC and Washington Post

Related Articles

****
**** Russia accuses US of sabotaging ceasefire and 'allying with terror'
****


Russia responded to the State Dept. announcement by accusing the US of
sabotaging the Syria ceasefire, and of "[forging] an alliance with
hardened terrorists" in order oust Bashar al-Assad.

According to a Foreign Ministry statement:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"[The US] has never exerted any real pressure on
> Jabhat Al-Nusra, done nothing for delineation to succeed and taken
> no action against its militants. ...
>
> We are becoming more convinced that in a pursuit of a much desired
> regime change in Damascus, Washington is ready to ‘make a deal
> with the devil’ [and to] forge an alliance with hardened
> terrorists, dreaming of turning back the course of
> history."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

Russia's Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova added: "Why
could Washington not deliver what it promised – to delineate between
the terrorists [the Al-Nusra Front] and the so-called moderate
opposition?"

I've listened to several Russian officials, including
Sergei Lavrov and spokesman Dmitry Peskov, make this same demand,
and I can't even figure out what it means.

There are over 200,000 people in east Aleppo, and probably a few
thousand, or maybe even 10-20,000, of them are members of Jabhat
al-Nusra (al-Nusra Front) which recently renamed itself Jabhat Fateh
al-Sham (JFS) when it cut its ties to al-Qaeda.

So apparently the Russians are demanding that American troops
go into Aleppo and figure out who belongs to al-Nusra and who
doesn't, and then separate out the al-Nusra people and move
them into a separate place so that the Syrian and Russian warplanes
can kill them. In other words, it's just more bizarre garbage
coming out of the mouths of Russian officials.

Bashar al-Assad's Shia/Alawite clan are historic enemies of the Sunni
Muslims dating back centuries, and it's been clear for years that
al-Assad has a highly emotional and highly self-delusional desire
to exterminate the Sunni Muslims.

The intention of the Russians is clear from new reports that Russia is
moving large squadrons of Sukhoi Su-24 and Su-34 fighter jets to the
Humaymim Military Airfields in Syria. Russia claims that their
purpose is to conduct air strikes against the so-called Islamic State
(IS or ISIS or ISIL or Daesh).

Possibly even more ominous are reports that Russia is also deploying
advanced SA-23 anti-missile systems to Syria. Since neither al-Nusra
nor ISIS has an air force, we must presume that Russia is preparing
for a possible military conflict

with the United States. Russia Today and Russia Today and Almasdar News (Syria) and Fox News

Related Articles


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Syria, Russia, Bashar al-Assad, John Kerry,
Sergei Lavrov, Maria Zakharova, Dmitry Peskov,
Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh
Jabhat al-Nusra, al-Nusra Front,
Jabhat Fateh al-Sham, JFS, Front for the Conquest of Syria,
Sukhoi Su-24, Su-34, SA-23, Humaymim Military Airfields

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4-Oct-16 World View -- US cuts off talks with Russia, signaling turning point in Syri - by John J. Xenakis - 10-03-2016, 10:23 PM
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