Thread Rating:
  • 0 Vote(s) - 0 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
Compare this 4T to others
#45
Donald Trump is a clueless failure as recent polls of approval in the low 40s and disapproval numbers in the low-fifties show. He will need a huge improvement in public opinion to have a chance to get re-elected.

Demographics do not help him, to put it mildly. Older generations in the electorate may be voting, in general, about 55-45 R; millennial adults are voting about 65-35 D. The Republican Party has little to offer Millennial adults except more debt, lower pay, and higher prices and taxes, and I do not see that changing. Millennial voters are roughly replacing older voters as new voters the older voters dying off or becoming unable to vote due to senility. Older voters (mostly) are leaving the electorate at roughly a 1.5% rate every year, and I am not distinguishing Silent, Boom, and X adults.

So 1.5% of the electorate that is net 10% R is replaced every year by an electorate that is net-30% D, so the electorate goes 0.6% more D every year, and 2.4% more D from 2016 to 2020.

Trump is a demagogue, the sort who creates more problems than he solves without the excuse of the world changing too fast. The Gray Champion forces changes that anticipate history. A true regeneracy requires a sizable majority to go along. As for us Boomers -- most of us are near, at, or past retirement age, so even if we make the changes we will not be around to appreciate them. Know well that the Millennial Generation is starting to participate in elections in numbers suggesting that civic participation is important to them. Sure, the post-Crisis world will not fit a Blue Boomer ideal -- but will not fit a Red Boomer ideal, either. MAGA? It will be as much in contempt as "New Era" politics of the 1920s.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist  but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.


Reply


Messages In This Thread
Compare this 4T to others - by sbarrera - 05-01-2019, 06:44 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 05-01-2019, 10:19 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by sbarrera - 05-02-2019, 06:41 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 05-02-2019, 11:55 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Kinser79 - 05-06-2019, 04:00 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by David Horn - 05-07-2019, 09:39 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 05-07-2019, 11:07 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Kinser79 - 05-08-2019, 09:13 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by David Horn - 05-08-2019, 10:01 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Kinser79 - 05-08-2019, 10:15 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by David Horn - 05-08-2019, 06:00 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Kinser79 - 05-09-2019, 01:29 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 05-10-2019, 12:36 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 05-08-2019, 05:30 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Eric the Green - 05-01-2019, 01:26 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by sbarrera - 05-02-2019, 07:12 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Bill the Piper - 05-02-2019, 07:03 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by sbarrera - 05-05-2019, 09:59 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by David Horn - 05-06-2019, 09:34 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 05-06-2019, 05:30 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by sbarrera - 05-07-2019, 05:29 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Eric the Green - 05-06-2019, 10:25 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 05-06-2019, 01:47 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Hintergrund - 05-14-2019, 08:55 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by taramarie - 05-09-2019, 01:38 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Kinser79 - 05-09-2019, 07:51 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Kinser79 - 05-15-2019, 01:38 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Kinser79 - 05-15-2019, 02:32 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Hintergrund - 05-18-2019, 07:24 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by sbarrera - 05-26-2019, 10:59 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Eric the Green - 05-27-2019, 09:53 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Kinser79 - 05-30-2019, 10:45 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by David Horn - 05-30-2019, 12:10 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 05-26-2019, 02:59 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Eric the Green - 05-27-2019, 06:25 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Eric the Green - 05-31-2019, 01:22 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 05-30-2019, 12:21 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by David Horn - 05-30-2019, 02:51 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 05-31-2019, 07:56 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 05-30-2019, 05:19 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by David Horn - 05-31-2019, 09:24 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 05-31-2019, 02:12 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 05-31-2019, 12:23 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Eric the Green - 05-31-2019, 01:47 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Hintergrund - 05-31-2019, 07:13 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by Hintergrund - 06-01-2019, 09:17 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 06-02-2019, 01:14 AM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by David Horn - 06-02-2019, 01:36 PM
RE: Compare this 4T to others - by pbrower2a - 06-02-2019, 03:25 PM

Forum Jump:


Users browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)