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[David Horn]

(06-01-2019, 09:17 PM)Hintergrund Wrote:

(05-30-2019, 12:21 PM)pbrower2a Wrote: So 1.5% of the electorate that is net 10% R is replaced every year by an electorate that is net-30% D, so the electorate goes 0.6% more D every year, and 2.4% more D from 2016 to 2020.

Yeah... on the condition that the Reps are dumb enough to never, ever change their strategy (say what you want about Trump, but his strategy WAS new), and the Democrats will never, ever piss off their fanbase. (What about the conservative Catholic Hispanics?)

If you're suggesting that both parties are in a repositioning era, I would agree.  Based solely on results to date, the Dems are moving toward the future majority and the Reps are solidifying a declining base.  That said, it's impossible to say that this is the long term strategy of either party, because one election cycle seems to qualify as a long perspective.