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What are your specialities?
#41
(09-17-2019, 06:43 PM)Mikebert Wrote: A couple of observations. Generations are not typically 20 years long. If you look at the first three S&H saecula (1435-1746) they average 25.9 years in length. Back at the old site a couple of us extended the cycle back to the mid-9th century (period 851-1435 covering 23 turnings), for which the average length was 25.4 years.

To show an 80 year cycle you need to obtain cyclical data going back several centuries. The data presented in chapter 4 is over too short of a period. I would suggest you employ marital age + 1 as a proxy for maternal age. I believe there is English data going back centuries.


I'm not willing to use marital statistics, as marriage was an institution regulated by church and religion. Marriage is basically based on human biology, or it at least tries to uphold some of the morale inside families,  but still, it is not something I feel comfortable relying on. I'd like to have all the sources as clear as possible. I know I've used marriage statistics in the theory to convey the low oxytocin levels of the 1970s, but those statistics are very precise and show exactly the moment when the divorce boom begins and ends, and for whom.

You should note that the 80 year cycle is highly consistent with the Strauss-Howe generational theory's generations all the way to the year 1700. Beyond that the generations become suddenly longer in the generational theory. But this same phenomenon of longer cycles can be observed with other animals as well, as the cycles can sometimes break a little bit, but then resume. Environmental factors like distance are most likely at work here, but in any case, this is well within the boundaries of the generational hormone theory.

On the other hand, the 80 year cycle is highly compatible with the group aggression (=wars) that is measured by the statistic below. X marks an ending of a 4th turning, blue line is the theoretical vasopressin hormone cycle with the highers point being the transition from a 4th turning to a 1st turning.

[Image: vasopressin-wars.jpg]


Btw, where did you place The Anarchy (1133-1153) on your medieval generational cycle?
Generational hormone theory: https://jannemiettinen.fi/FourthTurning/
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Messages In This Thread
What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-02-2019, 08:36 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-03-2019, 05:43 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-03-2019, 11:39 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-05-2019, 04:14 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by sbarrera - 09-05-2019, 07:22 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-05-2019, 09:42 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-06-2019, 07:08 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-06-2019, 08:31 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Hintergrund - 09-06-2019, 08:37 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-06-2019, 09:19 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-07-2019, 06:53 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Hintergrund - 09-09-2019, 05:04 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-09-2019, 08:17 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by David Horn - 09-09-2019, 09:44 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Hintergrund - 09-10-2019, 06:34 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-10-2019, 10:41 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-08-2019, 07:18 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-08-2019, 11:22 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-09-2019, 02:34 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-09-2019, 09:39 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-09-2019, 12:44 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-09-2019, 01:38 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ragnarök_62 - 09-09-2019, 02:04 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-09-2019, 02:14 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by David Horn - 09-09-2019, 03:09 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ragnarök_62 - 09-09-2019, 03:30 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-10-2019, 04:53 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-09-2019, 04:27 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-11-2019, 01:01 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-13-2019, 05:31 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-14-2019, 07:40 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-20-2019, 02:26 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-20-2019, 03:44 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-20-2019, 07:48 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-24-2019, 02:01 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-13-2019, 06:45 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-14-2019, 02:46 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-24-2019, 07:05 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Mikebert - 09-17-2019, 06:43 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-18-2019, 11:53 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Mikebert - 09-21-2019, 07:18 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-21-2019, 07:58 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-24-2019, 08:06 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-24-2019, 06:08 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-29-2019, 06:43 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-29-2019, 12:39 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by beechnut79 - 09-29-2019, 03:27 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-29-2019, 08:15 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 10-05-2019, 11:26 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 10-06-2019, 11:11 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 10-06-2019, 01:54 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by beechnut79 - 10-08-2019, 06:29 PM
RE: What are your specialities? - by tg63 - 10-08-2019, 11:19 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 10-09-2019, 01:56 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 10-09-2019, 02:51 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 09-25-2019, 12:56 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 09-26-2019, 06:14 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 10-11-2019, 09:33 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 10-20-2019, 05:31 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by pbrower2a - 10-20-2019, 09:37 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 10-18-2019, 04:17 AM
RE: What are your specialities? - by Ldr - 10-20-2019, 07:48 AM

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