The Coronavirus

[Classic-Xer]

(04-17-2020, 10:32 PM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote:

(04-17-2020, 10:11 PM)Classic-Xer Wrote: One can't test without tests (we are a few billion short right now) and enough testing machines to give results (we are several million short right now). I'm amazed that we are pretty much healthy right now.

Me too.  I suspect the bug is more contagious and less lethal than the general guess?  Lots of contagious people who show no symptoms?  If as extrapolated from the New York City maternity case one person in eight carries the virus, then I extrapolate that we will soon have the bug very common in the population, and very heavy isolation on the seniors.  We will see if the more rural areas who have not jumped to isolation early have health care overload problems.

CNN has an article up that one study shows 85 times the number of people have had the virus than initially detected (or not).  That confirms my guess.

I live in a state with six million people. We have one thousand sick, one thousand treated and released and a couple hundred dead so far. I figure COVID19 has actually been around since Christmas. The original tests (the tests that were on hand and distributed to hospitals) sucked and didn't give accurate readings so we had no testing available at all at the beginning. I know a woman who hasn't hugged her mother for well over a month. I pretty sure her mother would risk her life to hug her daughter again at this point in her life.