05-07-2020, 05:13 PM
(05-07-2020, 04:43 PM)Classic-Xer Wrote:(05-07-2020, 10:07 AM)David Horn Wrote:You avoid COVID19 the same way you avoid climate change, I guess.(05-06-2020, 09:00 PM)Classic-Xer Wrote:(05-06-2020, 09:21 AM)pbrower2a Wrote: If you wondered how I estimated a death rate I divided deaths into total cases. Can the death rate change? Sure, but beware of the cytokine storms that may have killed so many apparently-healthy young people in the influenza pandemic of a century ago.
I thought so. The total cases at the moment doesn't reflect the total amount of people who have had/ been treated for COVID19 so far. Once testing comes on line, the total cases will most likely rise substantially so don't freak out when it happens.
The best estimate of current cases: 10X the number reported. That's heartening in that most are very minor or totally asymptomatic. What's not so good is the issue of spread. If you have no idea that many of the people you see out-and-about are actually spreaders, how do you avoid being a victim?
COVID-19 has far more in common with HIV-AIDS than with climate change. But as a point of relevance -- climate change in the sens of anthropogenic global warming could easily be the focus of the Crisis of 2020, especially if hundreds of millions of peasant farmers find their lands inundated. At least when Stalin seized lands from the peasants, the peasants could survive as serfs of the 'socialist' state. King Neptune offers no such miserable alternative.
Otherwise you have offered nothing more than a red herring.
Oh, by the way --there is no proof that having gotten COVID-19 protects one from its mutations, but as the report I offered you said, it can certainly do much damage even if the respiratory disease vanishes..
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.