The 4T Generational Constellations - Red v Blue

[David Horn]

(09-23-2020, 05:14 PM)Warren Dew Wrote:

(09-24-2020, 02:56 PM)David Horn Wrote:

(09-23-2020, 05:14 PM)Warren Dew Wrote:

(09-23-2020, 04:01 PM)David Horn Wrote: If the Democratic centrists lose this one, after losing under Hillary, there will be no centrist Democratic candidate again anytime soon --  nor should there be.

Even if Biden wins, there won't be another centrist Democrat any time soon.  Neoliberalism has run out of steam and a President Biden would merely preside over its final collapse.

Good point, though the bitterness will be much less if he wins.

The bitterness of the neoliberals?

George Friedman thinks the last neoliberal term will be 2024-2028, which he thinks will have a Democratic President.  I agree that 2024 is a little early for the final nail in the coffin of neoliberalism.  It's also possible that a Red neoliberal like Romney or Baker will wrest back control of the Republican party and be President then, but that doesn't seem the way to bet right now.

There is an obvious majority bias against the old model of economic overlords with carte blanche to continue being who they are. How Trump, an overlord if there ever was one, managed to sell himself as a populist is a bit baffling, but he did. If he wins, there will be a reactionary return to old norms that can't work, and everyone not fully into the Kool-Aid will be hurt enough to react. How it goes from there is the only question, but don't bet on non-violence.