What do people think about how the turnings are aligned in South America?  It seems like Brazil and Venezuela are both in 4Ts now I’d imagine the rest of the continent is similar.

Interesting article although I don't entirely agree it:

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/arch...ource=fbia

Quote:Barry Latzer is that rare academic with both practical and theoretical knowledge of his subject matter. He prosecuted and defended accused criminals while teaching at the City University of New York graduate center and John Jay College of Criminal Justice. His new book, The Rise and Fall of Violent Crime in America, makes use of more than a century of crime statistics to sum up the wisdom of a long career studying why crime waves rise and fall. It’s a book that does not shy from the controversial, as you’ll see from our conversation...



http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/arch...ource=fbia

My first paper on secular cycles is finally out.

http://escholarship.org/uc/irows_cliodynamics

Prabhat Sarkar's theory of recurring "warrior," "intellectual" and "acquisitive" ages, always in that order, harmonizes perfectly with the S&H saeculum, in that each such age encompasses two S&H saecula - the current cycle's warrior age commencing at the conclusion of the Wars of the Roses and ending with the Glorious Revolution, and its ensuing intellectual age ending with the Civil War in the United States, and roughly concomitantly elsewhere.

The present acquisitive age is now in the last days of its second saeculum - so a new warrior age is slated to begin with the resolution of this 4T; and it is quite plausible that what we have been calling "modernity" will end also, forcing presumably Millennial historians to call the foregoing something else, because the new warrior age will usher in what will then be "modern."

Discuss (originally posted in the old-school Fourth Turning forum).

And who will it be?

How about former Ohio Republican congressman Steve LaTourette (presumably no relation to Georges Gilles de la Tourette)?

Could we outdo 1860 by having a five-way screaming match?  And MSNBC was reporting the results of a poll yesterday which gave Gary Johnson and Jill Stein 16% between them.

I'm working on more thoughts about but I wanted to get this tweet out; I've been thinking a lot about different types elites and the competition between them and how it effects politics.

all you have to do is type:

One interesting note is that the two most popular governors are Republicans in deep blue states.

https://morningconsult.com/state-governor-rankings/

Quote:Among all of the nation's governors, Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder has experienced the largest drop in support from his constituents as the Republican has struggled to handle the Flint water crisis.

A Morning Consult survey of more than 66,000 voters in all 50 states taken from January until early May found the number of voters who disapprove of Snyder has risen 17 points to 63 percent. At the same time, the percentage of voters who approve of Snyder has plummeted 13 points – the biggest swing in sentiment Morning Consult has found in any politician tracked in the past year...






https://morningconsult.com/state-governor-rankings/

A new report from Pew

http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2016/06/2...ell-being/