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Bob Butler 54, ResidentArtist

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  Political Cycle Article
Posted by: jleagans - Yesterday, 07:26 PM - Forum: Turnings - Replies (3)

Great read!

https://medium.com/@mishaley/how-history...04e6ac19bd

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  Theory: the 'turnings' are caused by generationally oscillating hormone levels
Posted by: Ldr - 01-20-2020, 01:37 PM - Forum: Turnings - No Replies

Here is the greatly improved generational hormone theory that is based on the Strauss-Howe generational theory: https://jannemiettinen.fi/FourthTurning/

What's different to before is that the sex hormones are now included (chapter 5), and chapter 3.2.7 includes an explanation how the social hormones cause birth cohorts to lean left or right on the political spectrum. This theory still largely negates the suggestion made by Strauss & Howe that 'social dynamics' explain the generational cycle, and explains why the generational cycle is actually an oscillating generational hormone cycle.

The premise is quite simple: the social hormones (oxytocin and vasopressin) are in high amounts during the 4th turning, and this causes the groups to tighten. This is what Strauss & Howe are explaining in their books, because a 4th turning basically comprises of tightening groups, and thus tightening intergroup relations. This is explained in chapter 2, and expanded further in chapter 4.

I've received good feedback from many professors, like from Robin Dunbar, who is the emeritus professor of evolutionary psychology at the University of Oxford, who was kind enough to send me a three page reply on the matter. (The biggest open questions surrounding the theory are vasopressin's behavioral effects and finding the generational vasopressin levels.) So the theory has been checked and found to be plausible by many experts in their fields. But what do people on this forum think about it? Is there anything in the Strauss-Howe generational theory that this generational hormone theory can't explain?

There's also a PDF-version available for download.

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  Guess Who's Back?
Posted by: Anthony '58 - 01-19-2020, 05:15 PM - Forum: Economics - Replies (1)

[Image: 82559568_2920627904623862_79875689806739...e=5E9E73E8]

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  Can Someone be a Hybrid type without being a Cusper?
Posted by: AspieMillennial - 01-18-2020, 09:21 AM - Forum: Turnings - Replies (2)

Say someone is born in the Silent Generation around 1935 but has a nomad upbringing that turns their traits towards being a nomad or someone born in the same year has genetic personality propensity and MBTI and big 5 traits very similar to the Boomers? Would the latter be an artist/prophet hybrid because they have a prophet personality and attitudes towards life but weren't born in the Boom or in the cusp? Would the former be an artist/nomad hybrid because of the shared experiences with both?

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  Is it me or are Xennials an odd bunch at times?
Posted by: Remy Renault - 01-13-2020, 05:23 PM - Forum: Generations - No Replies

Much like Boomers, Xennials tend to take personal offense at the fact that the world is going to h**l in a hand basket, but for different reasons. The Boomers think "the world they built is crumbling before their eyes." With a lot of Xennials it's "what the f**k is going on. I didn't sign up for this s**t (whether that implies Trump, the rise of the far right in Europe, climate change or any other pressing issue). I've just been a well-behaved citizen who goes to work and pays my bills on time, and now I'm the one being punished by all these loony extremists". Any thoughts? This seems to be a very common attitude among X/Millie cuspers in my experience.

Does the fact they came of age during Fukuyama's "End of History" era have something to do with it? Without ever having experienced s**t hit the fan before that?

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  Extropianism
Posted by: Bill the Piper - 01-11-2020, 08:39 AM - Forum: The Future - Replies (10)

The idea that the ultimate good is complexity, vitality and capacity for experience. We should as individuals and as society always strive to protect and expand Mind in all its forms.

Pros and cons?

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  Three Shoot Downs
Posted by: Bob Butler 54 - 01-09-2020, 11:06 PM - Forum: General Political Discussion - Replies (15)

There have in recent decades been three ‘accidental’ shoot downs of civilian airliners.  One was a while back, by a US cruiser, over the Gulf, while they were exchanging fire with Iranian gunboats.  Another was apparently by a Russian proxy acting in Ukraine of a Malaysian aircraft.  Recently, it seems likely Iran hit a Ukrainian civilian jet.

The US took open responsibility for their shutdown.  It turns out that the USS Vincennes had earned the nick name “Robo Cruiser”, a name that implied a gung ho aggressive attitude which resulted in their being energetic and a little free with their weapons.  I remember the captain and attitude getting a lot of flack after the shoot down.  It is understandable, though.  For them, it was a shooting war… so they shot.

It makes me have just a bit more sympathy for the other two shoot downs.  Not enough sympathy.  The civilians on those aircraft were quite innocent.  But if a US Navy ship in a shooting peace can get undisciplined and run weapons free, can you expect Russian proxy forces and Iranian air defense to be free of a similar attitude?  I suspect that the higher officials even in the autocratic states of Russia and Iran did not deliberately order the shoot downs, but they did seek out a violent aggressive attitude by those who wielded the rockets, an attitude which did not serve the big shots well.  It seems the shoot down of civilians is an unfortunate but inevitable result of engaging in proxy wars.

Naturally, the autocratic states denied responsibility in public.  So long as they send the guys that fired the rockets to Siberia or the desert somewhere.  Autocratic regimes may not admit responsibility, but I do not doubt their ability to apply punishments.

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  Reality
Posted by: AspieMillennial - 01-09-2020, 07:33 PM - Forum: Generations - No Replies

deleted deleted deleted

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  why porn, nudity and masturbation are considered bad??
Posted by: weareacouple - 01-08-2020, 10:24 AM - Forum: Special Topics/G-T Lounge - Replies (16)

First of all I will let you know that this is the husband half of "weareacouple" posting this however my wife feels the same as I do about the subjects. We have been married for 25 years and admitted to each other very early that we are both addicted to sex. When we are together we have a great sex life, however we both travel for our jobs (as she is this week) and when we are apart we both use porn and masturbation to get our needs met. Several of our friends (especially church friends) say that it is wrong and even cheating on our mate. When asked "why" they never have a good answer. 
I am posting on here today to try and get an honest and open discussion going on the subject that it seems no one wants to talk about. 
I am posting the picture in this thread to let everyone know that I am willing to be completely honest open and frank about whatever is asked or discussed and not someone that will hide behind a fake forum picture. Hope to get an interesting conversation going.



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  The Fall of Cities of the Ancient World (42 Years) The Sacred Name of God 42 Letters
Posted by: Mark40 - 01-08-2020, 06:23 AM - Forum: Theories Of History - Replies (5)

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Cain was avenged 7 times  (There is numerical codes hidden in the Scriptures Annotations, its say Genesis 4:24 (You have to read it 42).
[Image: High-Priestess.jpg][Image: Masonic.gif]\\

Pay attention to the Two Pillars of the Temple of Solomon (Jachin and Boaz) and to the Square Matrix (Keannu Reeves) in the Masonic Picture.

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Egyptian Book of the Dead : 42 Judges of Osiris  - The 42 Commandments of Maat 




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TIME SQUARE - 42nd Street New York, 7 Avenue :   Siege of United Nations  




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A lot of Coincidences.... a lot!!!  The Fall of the 72 Empires obey strange mathematical patterns!!  You can even predict the Future!

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