It looks like Trump is setting the mood for the 1T.

[Eric the Green]

The problem is Warren that no-one is sure how the 4T is going to turn out until it is about over. The victory has not been won; the defeat has not been suffered. In the New Deal, some direction was set; but that was an anomaly. Although the authors said the civil war was the anomaly, it now appears that the Depression era was. It created more agreement than usually occurs during 4th turnings. But then WWII happened, and the outcome of that was in doubt for a while. So, we don't know how the 1T will turn out, or what the consensus will be, until it's almost time for it to arrive. I agree with mikebert in this case.

Right now, the mood appeared to be getting set by Obama and Clinton. Now it appears to be getting set by Trump. It could happen, in which case we will be enjoying the sunny society of a banana republic. But the battle may have just begun. A lot of us are set to resist the orange menace and all he stands for, including your libertarian economics.

It usually doesn't fare too well in 4Ts and 1Ts. So if it does this time, it's an onimous sign of a precipitous national decline.

In 4Ts and 1Ts, a national consensus of people interested in the national interest and purpose is supposed to gather strength and prevail. In the 4T, it's a battle over what that consensus will look like. In the 1T it is taken for granted.