01-08-2017, 07:48 PM
Quote:Presidents who come in after triggers are transformational--a 4T is beginning--Hoover was transformational.
You're playing semantic games here. Not interested.
Quote:The hand he was dealt sucked so bad it was virtually unplayable and so he and his party lost. The problem is that unless there is a catastrophe, elites will not perceive that they have a problem and so have no incentive to cooperate in a fix But if there is a catastrophe on your watch then you are fucked, as Hoover was. It's a Catch 22.
The guy who comes in as part of a regeneracy inherits a serious problem (for elites) that did not happen on his watch. Even if he fails to solve it like FDR in his first term or Obama in his, he can still gain re-election.
Is that why FDR lost the 1940 election? After all, the 1937 recession occurred under his watch, and they had never fully recovered from 1929.

Quote:Trump's problem is he is coming in at a top, like Hoover.
Is that really the only outcome possible? Another big financial crisis with an ineffective response, leading to a new President 4 years later? You've developed this really annoying habit since I have been gone of coming up with hypotheticals about future events and then treating them as facts.