Has the regeneracy arrived?

[Mikebert]

SomeGuy Wrote:Also, M & T had the peak of the 17th k-wave in 1914, and in their book postulated a 19th k-wave peak around 2030.

If this is interest rates should have been rising since around 2000.  They haven't.  Also we should be seeing inflation, actually lots of it given all the money creation.  Also strong growth.  These are all hallmarks of the rising portion of the K-wave.  None of this has happened.

Quote:If I am not mistaken, Turchin has the peak of civil unrest occurring in 2020.  So, all in all, I am still more inclined to a Crisis climax starting around 2020.

This is correct, and it occupies the same point in the cycle as the peak in 1920.  There was little unrest in 1940's, which would correspond to the last 4T climax.  So this doesn't match either.

What exactly is your view of a ca. 2020 climax based on?  It seems to be based on your opinion.  Is that it?