Has the regeneracy arrived?

[David Horn]

(01-24-2017, 01:11 PM)Mikebert Wrote:

(01-24-2017, 12:28 PM)SomeGuy Wrote: Personally, I would rather the US abandon its efforts at hegemony, cut what deals it needs to preserve its most important geopolitical interests, maintain a military for defensive purposes only, and focus on rebuilding its infrastructure and industry, but I am not sure that there is enough political support for all of that in Congress.  We may have to muddle through a while longer.

So do I.  And if we get that then your view of how this 4T plays out will come true.  But your basic M&T cycle calls for the macrodecision phase to end around 2050, so this would be early.

To most Americans, it's our world to use as we please ... until it actually costs us something to 'use'.  Trumps is playing with fire, because that's just how he operates.  The Congress seems to be OK with him beating his chest, as long as they get the things they want.  In short: a muddle.  The neoliberals that are dominant in Congress only want tax cuts and reduce spending (on things they hate, at least).  Trump wants to be seen as the fixer who did it all.  This could resolve into a step back from the world ... or not.  It seems more likely that we will piss off a lot of friends, and make enemies of adversaries, but avoid an outright war.  The economy will do well for a while, then it may crash. 

We're in uncharted waters here.