Report Card for Donald Trump

[SomeGuy]

(01-25-2017, 05:46 PM)Mikebert Wrote:

(01-25-2017, 01:34 PM)SomeGuy Wrote:

Quote:People have done the math with no agenda aforethought. Guess what. WW3 would not be the end of the world.

Correct.  Nuclear winter is grossly overhyped, studies done by RAND, Kahn, and others have shown that casualties, while horrific, would not kill the majority of the population.

But it would be The End of the World as We Know It. 

It depends on the scale. Most calculations assumed a counterforce model.  But counterforce isn't a real strategy against an external enemy--it was directed against and internal opponent--the US Navy.

WHAT!?!

Counterforce targets THE EXTERNAL ENEMY's launch sites and other nuclear facilities.  What are you talking about?   

Also, even countervalue targets wouldn't generate the firestorms predicted, because concrete doesn't burn the way, say, Dresden or Tokyo did.  And even those weren't sufficient to waft that smoke into the stratosphere at the levels required.  You'd basically need a volcano to do that, and even then a real big one.  The Year without A Summer was bad, but it wasn't end of life as we know it bad, even back in 1816.

Some of the same clowns who wrote the TTAPS report claimed that the burning of the oil wells during the Gulf War would cause nuclear winter.  How did that turn out?