02-03-2017, 04:56 PM
(02-03-2017, 04:53 PM)Mikebert Wrote:(01-29-2017, 05:59 PM)SomeGuy Wrote: Please don't put words in my mouth, especially when I am here and you can just ask me. No, I went from around the end of WWII, when a dramatic 4T looking thing happened that realigned the political structures, I counted back about 80 years, and I saw a similar thing, likewise going back to the Revolutionary Wars.It is easy to see a periods that looks like a 4T around 1940 and 1870 for Germany and Italy. But go back another 80 years and you don't see another obvious one. Two events do not make a cycle. Thus they are not 4Ts, because the concept of a 4T implies a cycle. For America there were three obvious 4T-like period, the bare minimum to suggest a cycle.
Well, there's the whole Revolutionary/Napoleonic period, but that's not quite 70 years further back. And the 4T probably looked like it came early, if such a concept existed at the time, in the period from WWI to the mid-30s or so.
Those macrodecision phases do kind of skew things, IMO.