08-28-2018, 04:27 PM
(08-28-2018, 01:54 PM)Eric the Green Wrote:(08-28-2018, 10:44 AM)David Horn Wrote: You ask: "Will McCain Death, Midterms & Legal Scandals Finally Be Enough?"
Answer: No.
There is a cult of personality out there, fueled by the worst aspects of anyone's personality": racism, resentment, hate and schadenfreude. It won't go away until something much worse takes its place: perhaps war or financial meltdown. I can't total discount the possibility of disenchantment, but I see no evidence of it. Most of what constitutes Trump's base has been waiting for a hater for a long time. Now that they have one, they aren't going to quit him lightly.
Very well said. My only hope is that just enough will be disenchanted to empower the opposition. Then we will go on from there, continuing to face their wrath until they are defeated decisively enough for a pause we know as a first turning to begin. It only takes a 6% majority in the midterms, and 77,774 votes in three states in the presidential election. The Trump base is a strong majority of a minority. Peal off the minority of that minority, maybe just 4% of it, and the red tide is held at bay. Which means, the neo-liberal, militarist, gun totin', and social-conservative/hating minorities are held at bay, despite their built in, constitutional advantages and their cheating.
I doubt many of the Trumpists will cross the street and vote against him, though disillusioned women are more likely to do that than men. I see most of the disillusioned from both sexes just staying home. That's only half as effective as voting for GOP opponents, but still potent if the numbers are there. More to the point, what happens if the vote is decisive, and the Trump control era ends (the Dems win the House) or is reversed (the Dems win both chambers of Congress)? Will there be a mad dash to appoint reactionary judges to every open judgeship? Will McConnell kill the filibuster entirely and use the waning days of GOP control to pass some poison-pill legislation that Trump can sign? I think both are likely.
Intelligence is not knowledge and knowledge is not wisdom, but they all play well together.