Wheels within wheels.

[Eric the Green]

(12-06-2018, 11:14 AM)David Horn Wrote:

(12-05-2018, 03:55 PM)Mikebert Wrote: ... Although not complete the change in direction was enough for FDR to add to his Congressional majority in 1934 and 1936 so that it became so large that even after he was hammered worse than Obama in 2010 in 1938, Democrats still held a majority. His victory in 1940 and his decade-long Congressional majority made FDR the unquestioned commander in chief going into WW II. The result was a degree of political domination for 48 years after 1932 than was similar to what Lincoln had achieved for his party.

This is not and most probably will not happen this 4T.  Add the unbridled effect of money due to Citizens United, and a rising aspirational majority in the larger cities, stalemate seems most likely.  Yet things are degrading though neither side seems to have a solution that will swing the supporters of the other side to their cause.  Assuming I'm right here, what will lit take to break the stalemate, and what will it look like when it does?  The aspiring urbanites are not going to accept a retrenchment, and the rural opposition seems to be in the foulest mood I've seen.  

Assuming the T4T theory still applies, then we should be a lot further along the crisis path than we are.

This last statement refers to the civil war anomaly. If we add the 1848-60 period to the civil war 4T, then in 1855 it would have seemed that the 4T should have been a lot farther along than it was. Our 4T is a cold civil war, and the stalemate of our time is a repeat of the stalemate of that time. Many parallels exist between them, including the great recession and famine of 1845-48/2008-10, leading to a chain of revolutions in 1848/2011 (which were also years in which a USA war of conquest ended).

It will take a civil war climax to break the stalemate, but whether this civil war is hot or remains a cold one remains to be seen. But the essence of the crisis is how this stalemate is to be broken, so that reforms and redistribution can proceed again after the 50-year block.