04-15-2019, 04:36 PM
(04-15-2019, 04:23 PM)Snowflake1996 Wrote: I actually agree with most of your points. College attainment along with race/ethnicity are the likely lurking variables here as to why the generational shifts are where they are. I recall reading an article once showing that white millenials with no college degree were more partisan republican than their boomer white non college educated elders.
I guess this suggests that generational voting patterns can and do change with age. Xers definitely voted to the left of boomers in both 2016 and 2018. So if Xers were more conservative than boomers in their youth, this would mean Xers have gotten more liberal with age as boomers have gotten more conservative.
For the record I was the one who tried to connect Mark Blyth’s theory with S-H. Blyth himself doesn't believe in history repeating itself and is a very pragmatic quintessential Xer. I don’t think he’d disagree with your analysis on inflation either since he argues that the high interest rates of the 1970’s was a historical aberration.
Yes, good.
As far as my observation and reading of the graphs and articles goes, I don't think Xers as a whole have become more liberal per se as they aged; but that Boomers have gotten more conservative at a faster rate. One of your graphs and other reports may show this could be reversing among boomers now under Trump; I hope so, and I hope my generation comes to its senses and produces some gray champions during the rest of the 4T.
I do think some Jones/early Xers moderated their initial conservative views; the voting patterns I saw on those old graphs showed this.