05-08-2019, 01:56 PM
(This post was last modified: 05-08-2019, 02:24 PM by Tim Randal Walker.)
Summarizing some key points that Zeihan has made:
1. The USA is no longer motivated by the Cold War. But the old free trade regime and military alliances were crafted for this.
2. The USA is losing interest in vast swathes of the world.
3. USA is becoming energy independent, so no longer need concern itself with Middle East oil.
4. Two areas that might interest the USA in terms of trade are Southeast Asia and Latin America.
5 . USA will take greater interest in its "backyard"-Mexico, Central America, Caribbean, and Colombia. Supply chains will extend farther south into Central America.
6. The USA will lose interest in keeping the sea lanes open for all.
7. The USA will lose interest in protecting many of the countries that it was allied with during the Cold War.
8. The free trade regime was a bribe to lure countries into the anti-Soviet alliance.
9. The U.S. economy is one of the least dependent on the rest of the world. And much of its trade has been within nafta.
1. The USA is no longer motivated by the Cold War. But the old free trade regime and military alliances were crafted for this.
2. The USA is losing interest in vast swathes of the world.
3. USA is becoming energy independent, so no longer need concern itself with Middle East oil.
4. Two areas that might interest the USA in terms of trade are Southeast Asia and Latin America.
5 . USA will take greater interest in its "backyard"-Mexico, Central America, Caribbean, and Colombia. Supply chains will extend farther south into Central America.
6. The USA will lose interest in keeping the sea lanes open for all.
7. The USA will lose interest in protecting many of the countries that it was allied with during the Cold War.
8. The free trade regime was a bribe to lure countries into the anti-Soviet alliance.
9. The U.S. economy is one of the least dependent on the rest of the world. And much of its trade has been within nafta.