Trump as 4T Leader

[David Horn]

(08-27-2019, 09:28 AM)Bill the Piper Wrote:

(08-24-2019, 03:21 PM)Warren Dew Wrote:

(08-24-2019, 01:46 PM)sbarrera Wrote: The point is Trump is leading in a manner consistent with what turnings theory predicts for his generation in this turning.

Absolutely.  In fact, Trump's victory in the 2016 election was a major victory for generational theory.

The major questions at this point are how the crisis war will start, and whether we'll be on the winning side or the losing side.

You can look it from another angle. Whether Clinton or Trump, the election of 2016 was destined to be a major victory for 90s nostalgia and going back to 3T values. Bernie would have been different, but he is a Silent. Ideally, Silents should have presided over 3T and Boomers over 4T, but in fact Boomers dominate both.

Whether Trump wins a second term or not, we are officially a different country than we were in 2015.  If he loses in a major way, we'll almost certainly move in a progressive path.  If he wins, it will be the start of something authoritarian -- moreso than he's managed to date.  In either case, the election of 2016 was a watershed; we just aren't certain what kind.

I think we an discount both Biden and Bernie, so the next leg of the journey will be lead by a Boomer or an Xer.  Which will determine the tenor of the next few years, but it won't be path back to what was no matter who wins.  The American Century is done.