(11-13-2019, 09:54 AM)Bill the Piper Wrote: Putin has ditched Duginism, so it's not likely to be influential for the future of Russia. And I don't think it's about geographically defined civilizations, we experience a clash between global democracy (Purple on my diagram) and global autocracy (Brown). Dugin simply defined a global autocracy which can accommodate Christianity, Islam or Paganism as a state religion. Theocracy is currently submerged even Islamists are mostly losing their influence. But in the far future there might be a new form of theocracy based on direct rule by AI "gods".
Not all of the former Soviet Union was part of 'Eurasia', the Baltic States, Moldvia, along with the Western part of the Urkaine and maybe Belarus are part of the "West". Indeed the fault line between 'Eurasia' and 'The West' runs right through the Urkaine itself. Also Russia was ruled by the Mongol Golden Horde for centuries, which Eurasianists argued shielded it from Western influence. While the Western Urkaine and Belarus were part of the Polish-Lithuanian commonwealth for centuries. It is quite notable that the Russian Empire was a Eastward's rather than Westward's orientated empire. This is despite the imposed from the top westernization process which was started by Peter the Great, which only affected the Aristocracy to some extent. Ataturk did the same sort of imposed westernization on the Turkish, along with Reza Shah and Reza Palhavi in Iran to a lesser extent. Overall westernization in Eurasia has not changed the fundamental identity of the peoples. Because pretty much don't see themselves as being 'Westerners'. While the Poles, Baltic Peoples, Moldvians, along with some extent Urkanians and Belrrusians see themselves as 'Westerners'.
Anyway Dugin's version of Eurasianism I predict wont be the one, that eventually will be the dominant form. A parallel would be the fascist Oswald Mosley who argued for the integration of Europe into a single political entity back in 1947 Rather, Eurasianism is going to take the same form as contemporary Europeanism which is the 'Western Europe' equivalent of Eurasianism, Europeanism seeks to unite Europeans who consider themselves part of the 'West' in a single state. The region of 'Eurasia' has only recently started it's 2T in the last few years at most. Right now the Eurasian project is at the European Economic Community, namely the Eurasian Economic Union.
Already in Iran the young people have rejected Islam and starting to embrace more fully their Zoroastrianism heritage. Since Putin has done quite a bit to promote Eurasian ideology (even if he has ditched Dugin's version) and I can certainly see the Young Adult Prophet generation in Iran and elsewhere in 'Eurasia' to embrace Eurasianism, like some European Generation 68ers embraced Europeanism. Unlike many commentators, I am not fearing Eurasianism, rather I am welcoming it, because it help immesenly with the democratication of Eurasia and eventually bring about the fall of the "Islamic Republic of Iran" once Khamenei dies.
In fact I argue that ideology of Europeanism, was a factor behind the Fall of the Berlin wall in 1989, which was definitely an end of the Awakening phenomenon for Eastern Europe, which resulted in the Counterculture which rallied against Communism winning. Notably the fall of the Communist regimes across Eastern Europe expect for Romania and especially Yugoslavia (for various reasons), were pretty peaceful.