02-10-2020, 10:53 AM
(02-10-2020, 05:24 AM)Snowflake1996 Wrote: I don’t believe that Democrats would rally behind someone going into Super Tuesday who not only failed to win any state prior but didn’t even come close to winning any.
His poll numbers will drop once the first four contests are decided and he will underperform considerably when Super Tuesday comes.
Bloomberg won't be in the same position as Biden, though. Biden will have contested several states and not won them, making him a clear loser. Bloomberg will have skipped those states, so he won't really have "lost" them.
This is really the first time we've had a Presidential candidate capable of funding an external coefficient of diffusion from advertising comparable to the internal coefficient from "earned" media. If excessive advertising was capable of electing a Republican Senator in Massachusetts - which I got to see first hand - I think it can do it for the Presidency, given Bloomberg's money.
The only question is whether Bloomberg is willing to spend what it takes, which I think will be around $9 billion. I suspect he has a more modest goal of just earning enough delegates to prevent Sanders or Warren from getting the nomination, since their wealth tax proposals could theoretically tax away some of his wealth. Then he can use his delegates to throw the nomination to Biden or Klobuchar or Kerry or someone.