A Virus Lie?

[Bob Butler 54]

(03-13-2020, 11:05 PM)TheNomad Wrote: Does a Crisis Period attract, maybe, more Crisis?  Do we hyperventilate and want to throw more fuel into existing fires while in a Crisis Period in the Saeculum?  Only qualified historians can speculate, I am not that.

I do remember that being part of S&H theory.  As soon as the southerners left in the Civil War era, the legislative bills to start the railroad west started.  The southerners were not looking for westward expansion for fear of creating anti slavery votes, while many northerners were champing at the bits.  It wasn’t directly related to the trigger, but it wasn’t far to go.  

If Trump is rejected for not advocating a science based response to the virus and puts the Democrats solidly in, the democrats do have an agenda which will be pushed.  This includes but is not limited to global warming and bridge infrastructure, not to mention a right to health care illustrated by the virus.  They will have problems fully implementing things in a time of economic disruption, but I expect them to lean in that direction as soon as they can.

The post regeneracy part of a crisis, which is what we are talking about, usually involves a lot of trial and error practical problem solving. In the Industrial Age this usually included mobilizing and figuring out how to use the current technology of war, long disused compared to the rate of weapons development.  The unraveling and early crisis featured a lot of red denial that problems existed.  After all, they were rebelling against the expense and social change involved in solving problems.  They wanted small government, less taxes and to be left alone to live as they always have.  They wanted a break from the upheaval which was the awakening.  It is reasonable to expect the new mood will include solving these problems again.  

Is this what would be meant by “more Crisis”?  If so, the historians, at least S&H, have already spoken.  Others, more centered on linear thinking, perhaps anchored in the values of the unraveling, might well not expect it.

You seem to be speaking of crisis as being a bad thing, perhaps a time of upheaval and chaos.  I see it as a time when tools are taken up again after have being ignored for some time.  Problems long anticipated are addressed.  We have a different slant on things, neither of which is perhaps totally wrong.