(03-22-2020, 05:01 PM)Drakus79 Wrote: I think we're way past the point of it being the catalyst of this 4T. That's like saying the attack on pearl harbor in 1941 was the catalyst for the last 4T. We've been in this 4T since at least 2008 (maybe even as early as 9/11/2001).
Yes, the coronavirus is a massive catalyst in the 4T. Although the 4T begun around 2008, this is a massive catalyst situation where stress levels increase, and everyone notices the social mood changing. A 4T would come about and also get more intense without ANY catalysts, but catalysts are moments which any fool can notice.
As an analogy, the generational cycle is like a tree growing. You can't notice the changes when everything is changing at a normal pace, but it's still growing. A catalyst is like seeing a tree have a sudden growth spurt, and this way the tree will also get taller before the end of the 4T, thus the changes during that 4T will be more significant.
The US has two groups. This pandemic is only going to make things worse regarding the divide, since stress hormones are high, and this only increases the divide, since stress makes you defend you ground even more fiercely. During 9/11 the threat came from outside, so there was a moment of unification. This time the parties won't come together, since the threat is not something you can rally the entire nation against now that the ideological divides are so strong. (Trump kinda tried that with calling the coronavirus a "chinese virus", trying to get everyone behind him against China, but that certainly didn't work out too well, so he abandoned the idea.)
Generational hormone theory: https://jannemiettinen.fi/FourthTurning/