03-30-2020, 05:23 PM
(03-30-2020, 04:26 PM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote:(03-30-2020, 01:02 PM)David Horn Wrote:(03-29-2020, 11:40 PM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote: Trump is extending social distancing guidelines to April 30, saying peak deaths could occur in two weeks and puts the US coronavirus death levels at 100,000 or more. That is not quite Happy Talk, far better than releasing everything by Easter (April 12). He is beginning to shift his perspective, but I am not convinced he is going anywhere near fast enough.
Trump is taking the proverbial path of least resistance. He needs to be at least close to rational, or he won't get his ratings. So he goes with 100,000. If he's close, he'll claim he prevented a worse calamity. If he's lowballing it, he'll modify his estimate later and play the blame-game.
This is not about doing the right thing -- not for the Donald. It's all marketing.
Well. He needs to be close to rational by standards he is setting. I don't think the virus will let him set standards. I heard a high infection count in rural Louisiana. When the rural areas start getting hit hard, I suspect Trump will too.
To be honest, rural areas self-isolate by design. Yes, there is church, which is a biggie and may prove to be life altering. Other than that, stores aren't packed and neither are parks or the great outdoors in general. I'm sure there will be rural hotspots, and I hope we're not one, but most areas will be hit lightly. That's the experience of the Spanish Flu, and this looks similar from the epidemiological perspective.
Intelligence is not knowledge and knowledge is not wisdom, but they all play well together.