What Will Come of This 4T?

[Warren Dew]

(04-20-2020, 09:45 AM)Isoko Wrote: Warren,

Why thankyou. I am glad that it is rather optimistic, heh. Yeah, I honestly don't see anything happening about from the decline and eventual collapse of the West. 

When it comes to a major war, then no. The reason for that is apart from the West, the BRICs are actually doing fine. They have no reason to go to war as it is not in their best interests. There is still alot of economic growth to be had for the BRICs.

Crisis wars are not governed by best interests, or indeed by anything rational.  They happen because leaders miscalculate and end up in a war they don't want, or because nationalist populations refuse to permit their governments to compromise.  Sometimes what happens is that internal divisions get too severe, as happened in the American Civil War, the Taiping Rebellion, the Chinese Communist Revolution.  Brazil, Russia, and India may not be fully entrained into the WWII time line, but China most certainly is.

I could easily see a US President deciding that the way to get rid of North Korean nuclear weapons is to nuke the relevant North Korean sites while they're still unable to retaliate against most of the US.  Would China and Russia just accept that?  What about after the US pressures India into giving up its nuclear weapons, and next applies pressure to China?

Quote:The next major war to occur will be when the BRICs start to reach their 4T period which should be around the late 21st to early 22nd century. This fits in quite well with my analysis. When they stop growing, they will decide to turn on one another.

You mean their next 4T period?  Or do you not believe in the 80 year generational cycle?

Quote:Eric

Just keep in mind that what Eric sees as progressive is progress toward a socially liberal version of Stalinism.