COVID-19 is the climax to this 4T

[Bob Butler 54]

(04-06-2020, 07:25 AM)Snowflake1996 Wrote: What about something like this?

1929-1947 4T
1948-1965 1T
1966-1984 2T
1985-2001 3T
2002-2021? 4T

Boomers 1943-1960
Xers 1961-1979
Millennials 1980-1996
Zoomers 1997-2016?
New Prophets-2017-onwards (too young to remember the Great Quarantine that both Zoomers and Millennials will talk about for decades)

Catalyst: 9/11 followed by the war on terror, Katrina, housing market pop, and financial crisis 
Regeneracy: Obama’s administration. The passage of the affordable care act, the stimulus, Dodd-Frank, don’t ask don’t tell repeal, Osama’s death, etc. 
-Note: Obama is the gray champion (He was born closer to the end of the last 4T than FDR or Lincoln were. He is old enough to fulfill this role). 
Crisis: Trump/Covid19 (a direct threat to the regeneracy that millennials supported with their electoral support behind Obama). Perhaps this is a leading indicator that Biden will cement Obama’s reforms if he wins in November? 

It seems like we’re way overdue for the regeneracy phase.

I see September 11th as being a little early. It was a classic military catalyst uniting the country, but it happened a bit before the crisis generation configuration was ripe, the guy in charge was conservative, while the crisis is generally about the acceptance and changeover to the progressive values, and the attempt to solve the problem didn’t work. The new ideals failed and we withdrew (if slowly) from the Middle East.

In a lot of way it was a crisis, but in other ways if fell way short of a triumph of values.

Obama failed to punish Wall Street as expected, and after passing a health care bill failed to a hostile congressional majority to do anything with the agenda. While he was a solid president, he was not a Grey Champion convincing his people to adapt the new values. Everything he tried to do was undone by his successor.

I see Trump as being the analog of Buchanan and Hoover, a bad president as the new value historians remember him and a proof that the old ideals are severely dated.

A regeneracy marks when a new administration fully implements the progressive agenda. Obama didn’t do it, or it was rejected. The governors are starting to do it, but the federal government is still captive to Trump and the small government ideal of the unraveling. Yes, the Coronavirus is a classic S&H Trigger. You cannot reject that science and ignore it. We will see if Biden can bring the rest of the blue agenda in should he get elected. The economy may be struggling, and he might choose to leave much not done. In which case, there might be quite an awakening when it comes.