04-27-2020, 06:35 PM
(This post was last modified: 04-27-2020, 06:51 PM by Eric the Green.)
Off hand I'd say this article puts too much emphasis on an arbitrary standard of 21 days. It also expects governments to issue orders of 8 different categories, and provides no results for any of them. Shutdowns and shelter-in-place cover and include all of those 8 factors, so that's an easier decision for a government to make.
It's clear that because Sweden didn't shut down, it had more deaths. Similar judgments can be made about Italy, the UK, and the USA. Putting Sweden out 21 days on the graph doesn't change that fact. Of course he put it out there, since Sweden never shut down.
Population density applied to nations and even states is misleading, as I pointed out before. Borders are arbitrary, and analyzing stats by country and state can be misleading, since some parts of a country or state are dense and others are not.
Bay Area counties, where the virus struck first in the nation, are densely populated, and have controlled the virus better than many counties that are also densely populated. Washington was put out 21 days on the graph in this article, but actually Gov. Inslee acted quickly, so I don't know where he got this. As the graph showed, Washington is low on the death chart. As I pointed out, it was the second most infected state at first, because of its location, but now has fallen to 16th place, and it's been there for weeks. That's because of the measures that Inslee and the people of Washington took, as opposed to the poor job by Washington DC for the nation. Maybe it took a while for the state of WA to drop down there, but you can't argue with the fact. WA has stopped new cases better than any other state. Funny games with stats will not deceive the people into letting Trump off the hook.
China is the elephant in the room. It's shutdown worked. It has had few new cases for weeks now. It has a huge population density.
New Zealand, Australia, South Korea are other examples.
Italy has been on a long, belated downward trend since its dramatic shutdown that was too late to stop a severe outbreak in a tourist trap-- tourists that came home on airplanes and flooded into the USA East Coast before any travel restrictions were put on.
It's clear that because Sweden didn't shut down, it had more deaths. Similar judgments can be made about Italy, the UK, and the USA. Putting Sweden out 21 days on the graph doesn't change that fact. Of course he put it out there, since Sweden never shut down.
Population density applied to nations and even states is misleading, as I pointed out before. Borders are arbitrary, and analyzing stats by country and state can be misleading, since some parts of a country or state are dense and others are not.
Bay Area counties, where the virus struck first in the nation, are densely populated, and have controlled the virus better than many counties that are also densely populated. Washington was put out 21 days on the graph in this article, but actually Gov. Inslee acted quickly, so I don't know where he got this. As the graph showed, Washington is low on the death chart. As I pointed out, it was the second most infected state at first, because of its location, but now has fallen to 16th place, and it's been there for weeks. That's because of the measures that Inslee and the people of Washington took, as opposed to the poor job by Washington DC for the nation. Maybe it took a while for the state of WA to drop down there, but you can't argue with the fact. WA has stopped new cases better than any other state. Funny games with stats will not deceive the people into letting Trump off the hook.
China is the elephant in the room. It's shutdown worked. It has had few new cases for weeks now. It has a huge population density.
New Zealand, Australia, South Korea are other examples.
Italy has been on a long, belated downward trend since its dramatic shutdown that was too late to stop a severe outbreak in a tourist trap-- tourists that came home on airplanes and flooded into the USA East Coast before any travel restrictions were put on.