The Coronavirus

[Classic-Xer]

(05-07-2020, 10:07 AM)David Horn Wrote:

(05-06-2020, 09:00 PM)Classic-Xer Wrote:

(05-06-2020, 09:21 AM)pbrower2a Wrote: If you wondered how I estimated a death rate I divided deaths into total cases. Can the death rate change? Sure, but beware of the cytokine storms that may have killed so many apparently-healthy young people in the influenza pandemic of a century ago. 

I thought so. The total cases at the moment doesn't reflect the total amount of people who have had/ been treated for COVID19 so far. Once testing comes on line, the total cases will most likely rise substantially so don't freak out when it happens.

The best estimate of current cases: 10X the number reported.  That's heartening in that most are very minor or totally asymptomatic. What's not so good is the issue of spread.  If you have no idea that many of the people you see out-and-about are actually spreaders, how do you avoid being a victim?

You avoid COVID19 the same way you avoid climate change, I guess.