The Coronavirus

[Kinser79]

(05-18-2020, 11:38 AM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote:

(05-18-2020, 10:12 AM)Warren Dew Wrote:

(05-18-2020, 04:30 AM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote: The facts on the ground say the climate is warmer in the south than in New York.  If climate was the driving factor right now, New York would not be having fewer cases, the southern states more.

Wikipedia data shows that New York had 1889 new cases and 141 new deaths on the most recent day for which they had figures, May 16.  By comparison, Texas had 785 new cases and 31 new deaths.  Florida had 1189 new cases and 16 new deaths.  The idea that New York has "fewer cases" is delusional.

I don't blame lying for your falsehood, though.  It's clearly just cluelessness.

The CNN report has the northeast curves going down, the whole south going up.  Clearly isolation policies are dominant over climate.  Yes, the northeast got hit first.  Their absolute values are higher.  They peaked, at least for the first wave.

I don't interpret your misreading the numbers as deliberate lying, just cluelessness.  We'll see if the models are correct, that we will have many more infections in the south in a few weeks, followed a few weeks later by more deaths.

New York/New Jersey and Texas and Florida are apples to apples comparisons.  CNN's data is probably at the best flawed and at worst an open lie.  Given how much CNN lies about everything the latter wouldn't surprise me.  Perhaps the CDC would be better.

https://www.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/

According to the CDC the state by state Breakdown is as follows:

NY:  19,337 New Cases in the past 7 days
NJ:  10,356 New Cases in the past 7 days
FL:  5,587 New cases in the past 7 days
TX:  9,924 New cases in the past 7 days.

Since we're talking about transmission rate it is clear that NY and NJ DO NOT have coronaviris under control (not that FL or TX claim that they do).  Texas' numbers seem higher because they are doing a lot more testing where as testing in FL is ramping down.  

According to CNN the states with the highest rate rise are South Dakota and Arkansas.  Both cases are rural states which lack transportation hubs and are perhaps the last gasp of this round of coronavirus and once those rates fall from it burning through the population or running out of time climatically we won't see it there again till fall.

As for the models...they are notoriously wrong.  After all they were predicting 2 million dead and we aren't even a 10th of that.  Perhaps it is the same models that the so-called climate conspiracy theorists scientists use to predict that there would be no snow on Kilimanjaro in 2010.