05-25-2020, 05:28 PM
(05-25-2020, 10:38 AM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote:(05-25-2020, 10:06 AM)David Horn Wrote: Report from the hinterlands: everyone (well, far too many anyway) are back to normal here in exurban Trumpland. If this disease is less virulent in the summer months, and just the act of being outdoors will promote that to some extent, then we many see that large reemergence in the Fall that has been predicted. People who don't agree with the CDC guidance, and there are huge numbers in that camp, are not going to go for Shutdown 2.0 no matter the need. This can get really ugly by October, and ultimately affect the election.
There are way too many moving parts to this story.
I agree there are lots of moving parts, but the key is that if you don’t take the isolation seriously, R stays higher than one. That means exponential growth. That to me means something must give, and likely long before October.
So, when they all get sick. who gets; the blame? Trump is the logical choice, but he's exempt, for some reason. That leaves wild conspiracy theories, with nothing more behind them than rage. Let's assume that the Trumpster is defeated and Biden is elected by a wide margin. Some folks, including the Never Trumpers from the GOP, are getting scared that Trump will destroy the election, pardon every one including himself, and refuse to hand overpower. It's hard to know how that plays prior to January 20, 2021. Even then, it could be contentious.
Intelligence is not knowledge and knowledge is not wisdom, but they all play well together.