Goodbye, "3 1/2 T"

[Bob Butler 54]

(08-05-2020, 11:11 AM)TeacherinExile Wrote: But before I could deem 9/11 as the beginning of a crisis era, I would have to read an analysis that makes a clear connection between 9/11 and subsequent crises, dot by dot: the Crash of ‘08, whose effects were trans-Atlantic; and COVID-19 which, as a pandemic, is truly global in scale.  All three crises can be attributed in varying degrees to a pattern of unpreparedness.  But there remain missing links, at least in my mind, as to how a Global War on Terror leads on directly to the Great Recession, and then to a public health crisis, twelve years later.  I can only make a weak case connecting 9/11 to the 2007 housing bust, which I would base on the “advice” Bush II gave us in the immediate aftermath of 9/11.

What I do contend is that either 9/11 or the Financial Crash of ‘08 has to mark the beginning of the Fourth Turning crisis. To mark the start, instead, at 2020 with COVID-19—36 years after Reagan’s re-election in 1984...well that just screws up the whole timing of the theory, in my opinion.

Sort of a tentative link. September 11 provided an excuse for the Iraq War. Bush 43 was concerned with the 'no new taxes' pledge which hit his father, so did not pay as well for the war as he could. This may have effected the housing bubble blowing up as it did. It is more than a bit of a stretch.

But again there is the crisis generation alignment and the crisis heart, the latter of which used to be the time frame of the crisis war. The generation alignment does not need an event to initiate. It depends only on which generation is in elder control. It is the crisis heart that depends on a trigger event which makes the old values obsolete.

There is no event that triggers the arrival of prophets into eldar status.